TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Marlins vs. Rays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marlinsof Marlins, Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$318,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$313,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38a…8d26backed Rays61c177,306$107,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,984.5517652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Marlins40c54,759$21,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,118.056556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Marlins39c49,115$19,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,950.7235854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins40c25,328$10,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,149.9941850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Marlins25c15,955$4,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,891.5619650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc605…d372backed Rays77c12,395$9,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,483.978641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins39c10,047$3,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,090.411,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins39c8,751$3,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,338.351,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Rays60c7,964$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,769.9336047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins40c7,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2001,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins40c6,729$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,035.12,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins41c6,307$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,701.4186751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Marlins50c6,247$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.8613262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Marlins42c5,510$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,188.319,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rays58c3,052$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.3532852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc40…4036backed Rays52c2,828$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.892259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Marlins32c2,745$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.459920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Marlins40c2,200$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9849250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rays14c2,079$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Marlins41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Rays64c1,565$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.997451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Rays41c1,412$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.125835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf90d…0b4dbacked Marlins32c1,398$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.762231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Marlins61c1,381$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.9814951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins42c1,291$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.8940547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Marlins54c1,156$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.1111036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Marlins41c1,003$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.0633349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Marlins11c1,000$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89012314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5431…d00fbacked Rays59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.991323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Marlins41c975.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.611,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins42c950$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.131,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80f8…6713backed Marlins59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.464261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf59…ff38backed Marlins42c758.91$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+58.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Marlins48c738.94$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.8596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Marlins41c712.41$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.325,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Rays33c711.85$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.998434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a9…609fbacked Marlins17c670.07$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.483844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Rays51c662.75$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33820523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Marlins40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Marlins41c597$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2315949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Rays50c556.8$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4332832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d61…8c6ebacked Marlins51c520$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Rays11c516$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.092488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd160…603dbacked Marlins57c512.26$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.271369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e68…5472backed Marlins54c500.01$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.512650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Marlins40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Marlins58c470$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins40c467.26$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2785047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Marlins44c448.94$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.881,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Rays59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Marlins46c413.04$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.0439436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rays27c411.71$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.292,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Marlins56c395.11$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.1152542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Rays40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Rays57c345.17$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6316055.6%89 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins77c339$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.482,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Rays59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays55c334.82$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.544,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Rays69c328$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.6851953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Rays13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397135.2%25 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins39c286.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0644443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins8c280$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.783248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Rays72c272.42$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1439739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Rays36c268.34$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.538530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins40c256.67$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15468656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Marlins36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Marlins43c244.19$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Rays27c242.34$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.69824.5%24 W · 74 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rays46c234.78$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10817136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Marlins35c231.43$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4353448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Marlins56c230$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2941751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2339…e984backed Rays61c227.87$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Marlins39c227$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7240352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ce…13eebacked Rays47c214.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Rays59c203.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Marlins41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Marlins12c200$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1768842%37 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Rays58c171.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7320450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays60c167.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba2…c1a0backed Rays59c167.11$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.62119%4 W · 17 L-6.2wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-57.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Rays61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Rays63c159.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017149.7%85 W · 86 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Marlins58c159.24$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.243351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Rays51c157.38$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0554441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Rays40c153.54$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.426046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Rays62c152.04$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9411058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Marlins55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.512451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Marlins38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9361346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27be…e3a9backed Rays68c147.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Marlins40c147$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.273352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Marlins35c146.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1450447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c97…4c14backed Rays67c141.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bcd…6bddbacked Marlins55c140.43$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6817558.9%103 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1340…e6a5backed Marlins41c130.76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Marlins36c129$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1942955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ae…5f7ebacked Marlins41c128.88$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a8…59e3backed Rays19c128.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.962634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Marlins69c125.22$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2263052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.