MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5644895eac1c533cfda4f4cc491f1e5b8e0f410369497835b924b237f305833b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $474,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Angels | 46c | 204,489$94,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,368.42 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Mariners | 54c | 112,877$60,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,217.44 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 60c | 33,842$20,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,454.56 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 59c | 32,668$19,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,293.03 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mariners | 57c | 20,252$11,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,708.47 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Angels | 45c | 19,904$8,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,955.56 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 63c | 15,703$9,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,773.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Mariners | 75c | 15,003$11,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.29 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Mariners | 70c | 14,293$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,292.98 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Angels | 43c | 14,248$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.45 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Angels | 32c | 12,984$4,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 53c | 12,121$6,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,739 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Angels | 45c | 11,797$5,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,308.68 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 66c | 9,869$6,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.33 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Mariners | 55c | 9,128$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.31 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Mariners | 67c | 7,211$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Angels | 46c | 6,666$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.98 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 68c | 6,160$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.9 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mariners | 54c | 5,711$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.91 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels | 45c | 4,946$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.83 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mariners | 54c | 4,092$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.32 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 45c | 3,604$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.08 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 53c | 3,440$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.19 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Mariners | 69c | 3,122$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.64 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 63c | 2,929$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.49 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mariners | 51c | 2,781$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.16 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Mariners | 64c | 2,657$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.75 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Angels | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Angels | 37c | 2,313$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Mariners | 71c | 1,759$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.12 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Angels | 37c | 1,737$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.4 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 52c | 1,500$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Angels | 46c | 1,390$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.49 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…d29ebacked Angels | 35c | 1,151$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Angels | 44c | 1,148$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 54c | 1,025$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.38 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Angels | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mariners | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 16c | 926.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 56c | 894.02$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mariners | 80c | 812.5$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 68c | 804.27$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.97 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 65c | 732.6$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.41 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 64c | 714$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.11 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Angels | 27c | 640.7$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.99 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Angels | 46c | 570.87$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dea…3adfbacked Angels | 47c | 560$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Angels | 47c | 537.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mariners | 67c | 534.67$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.47 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Angels | 23c | 522.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Angels | 29c | 491.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Angels | 44c | 455$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Mariners | 54c | 446.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Angels | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 64c | 421.78$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Mariners | 74c | 405.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Angels | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Angels | 30c | 356.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…e14cbacked Mariners | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Angels | 7c | 326.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Angels | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Angels | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Mariners | 62c | 294.21$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Angels | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…2377backed Mariners | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Angels | 43c | 239.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.18 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 55c | 232.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners | 64c | 232.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels | 44c | 226.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec1…59dbbacked Mariners | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 61c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Angels | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Angels | 32c | 189.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Mariners | 46c | 165.18$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Angels | 58c | 163$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 59c | 150.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Mariners | 66c | 143.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Mariners | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Angels | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 68c | 139.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Angels | 45c | 137$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Mariners | 54c | 123$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…f295backed Mariners | 76c | 122.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Mariners | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Angels | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46c3…855bbacked Angels | 44c | 116$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20d…d1e9backed Mariners | 56c | 116$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Angels | 35c | 115.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Mariners | 62c | 114$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Mariners | 55c | 112$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…abc5backed Angels | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Angels | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfd…b48ebacked Mariners | 56c | 108$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…f448backed Angels | 44c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.