MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f50c25243f1391423fe974e8a6dd9ea6c62f70503274c9443335a395c3075b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Cubs, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Phillies | 76c | 42,240$32,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,939.66 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Cubs | 23c | 28,684$6,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,462.95 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 59c | 6,511$3,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 35c | 5,452$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.75 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cubs | 0c | 5,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 27c | 5,211$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.09 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs | 48c | 4,286$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.32 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cubs | 17c | 3,793$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…0b4dbacked Cubs | 42c | 3,563$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Phillies | 51c | 3,205$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.26 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Phillies | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cubs | 49c | 3,002$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.25 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cubs | 50c | 3,000$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.99 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 73c | 2,944$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 30c | 2,355$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.26 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Cubs | 19c | 2,155$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cubs | 1c | 2,005$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cubs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Phillies | 65c | 2,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cubs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 25c | 1,962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cubs | 26c | 1,879$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.28 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cubs | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…98cfbacked Phillies | 56c | 1,643$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 50c | 1,638$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.9 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Cubs | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Phillies | 64c | 1,381$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.02 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 49c | 1,241$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.88 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 51c | 1,225$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.49 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 49c | 1,121$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.5 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Cubs | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Phillies | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Cubs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Cubs | 10c | 987.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 63c | 983.9$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.55 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cubs | 6c | 950$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 51c | 857.88$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.04 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 51c | 788.96$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.59 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Cubs | 19c | 776.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Cubs | 4c | 770.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Phillies | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cubs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 48c | 399.95$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 51c | 384$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 50c | 355.82$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.91 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies | 73c | 340$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cubs | 28c | 322.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Phillies | 50c | 306.66$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Cubs | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Phillies | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 50c | 233$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 56c | 230.35$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Cubs | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Cubs | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 52c | 204$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cubs | 49c | 203.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Phillies | 71c | 200.58$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Cubs | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Phillies | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Phillies | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Phillies | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 46c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Cubs | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked Cubs | 25c | 100.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cubs | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Cubs | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Phillies | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Cubs | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 51c | 94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Phillies | 59c | 91.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Cubs | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 28c | 79.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Phillies | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cubs | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Phillies | 52c | 67.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Phillies | 51c | 62.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Cubs | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 65c | 57.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…b4d1backed Cubs | 51c | 51.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Phillies | 52c | 45.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Phillies | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Phillies | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Cubs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Cubs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cubs | 50c | 40.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…acf4backed Cubs | 48c | 30.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…bb3fbacked Phillies | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Cubs | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7e…54ddbacked Cubs | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…d077backed Phillies | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Phillies | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.