TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$330,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$343,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,771 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc210…4666backed Braves60c34,647$20,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,788.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8c…e305backed Diamondbacks40c34,647$13,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,788.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc605…d372backed Braves65c33,802$22,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,099.868641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Braves58c20,001$11,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,599.1727948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Diamondbacks42c18,899$7,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,021.9641850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Diamondbacks42c18,124$7,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,583.6126355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Diamondbacks32c17,715$5,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,059.519650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…a688backed Braves63c15,574$9,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,880.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Braves76c15,123$11,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,480.0886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks20c14,277$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,351.712,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks21c13,012$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,336.021,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed6…b287backed Braves0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Diamondbacks43c9,878$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,678.1836047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves58c7,698$4,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,445.621,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…98cfbacked Braves75c5,283$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,985.881741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Braves1c4,850$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.424754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Diamondbacks45c4,808$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.211060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks1c4,729$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,695.038762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00be…5acabacked Braves60c4,500$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70050%0 W · 5 L-3.2wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc87f…fb1fbacked Diamondbacks33c3,040$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.681241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Diamondbacks42c2,701$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56039041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Braves59c2,604$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.825550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12d…d764backed Diamondbacks37c2,347$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.523351.5%17 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef57…90c1backed Braves63c2,278$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.52544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Diamondbacks41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Diamondbacks42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Braves61c1,893$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.5199149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1f…20c8backed Diamondbacks43c1,860$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.25100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Braves58c1,626$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.189920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Diamondbacks4c1,618$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.648842%37 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks33c1,529$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.19,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks40c1,500$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.2571751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Diamondbacks46c1,466$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.2725835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks36c1,400$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b8…fb0bbacked Diamondbacks43c1,364$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Braves59c1,300$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76241643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks5c1,256$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.3745248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x516a…84f6backed Braves58c1,231$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.876435.9%23 W · 41 L-11.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks41c1,061$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.352,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Braves58c1,026$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Braves60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60095950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Diamondbacks12c1,000$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88515642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks42c999.97$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.981,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Diamondbacks40c997.83$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.720850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks49c996.56$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdef5…a7debacked Braves57c974$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks40c951.75$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5711,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Diamondbacks24c934.11$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.348530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88ae…5528backed Braves71c923.9$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Diamondbacks9c918.59$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.4540547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Diamondbacks41c900$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2568656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf8c…ccbbbacked Braves57c886$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80f8…6713backed Braves58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Diamondbacks1c854.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.785053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Braves59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Diamondbacks41c804.88$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.881,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Diamondbacks3c757$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73712624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks40c747.25$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.351,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Diamondbacks5c680$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.840629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcc3b…f625backed Diamondbacks2c630$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.927935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbec2…10dabacked Diamondbacks42c629$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.821450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Braves64c625$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Diamondbacks40c622.38$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.4320450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Diamondbacks20c603.54$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.5439436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Diamondbacks37c600$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.842452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Diamondbacks42c600$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34633852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Braves58c598.12$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.51,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a0…1b3dbacked Braves70c587.31$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.22941.4%12 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Diamondbacks24c565.42$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.0218349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Braves59c542.37$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1240…3a3fbacked Diamondbacks42c539.67$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.011040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Diamondbacks43c500$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2869550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x399d…01dabacked Diamondbacks42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x265d…5329backed Diamondbacks60c464.79$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.17659.2%45 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Braves14c456.78$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7479740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Diamondbacks12c450$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39612314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Diamondbacks10c446.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.68434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacad…bceabacked Braves61c432.48$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.811947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Braves59c408$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.727544%33 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Diamondbacks34c370.17$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.8230928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Braves60c350$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21092050%460 W · 460 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Diamondbacks41c350$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Braves58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Braves61c326.02$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8719852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5f97backed Diamondbacks39c304.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.628146.9%38 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Braves56c291.4$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.189448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1fd…af0dbacked Braves58c258.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b8…af7abacked Braves80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003666.7%24 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Braves67c245.6$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6519849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2339…e984backed Braves59c243.74$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.811346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba2…c1a0backed Diamondbacks41c242.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.862119%4 W · 17 L-6.2wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-57.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks41c240.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6385047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ed…c5a4backed Braves59c237.29$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Diamondbacks41c218.05$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fb…7fbfbacked Diamondbacks6c208.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.021827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+48.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…7bcabacked Braves60c207.02$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…81f0backed Diamondbacks15c202.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.083231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Braves55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b81…9204backed Braves57c200$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks43c199.97$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.983,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.