MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e84702d2cae19d32d5dad608175cb4b05c8cd91cca3370726363e22e006606e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Royals, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 44c | 6,943$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.93 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5eb…e7eabacked Cardinals | 68c | 4,839$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 30c | 4,165$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.41 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 60c | 3,822$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.65 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cardinals | 18c | 3,377$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.57 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Royals | 56c | 3,308$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.44 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Royals | 72c | 3,252$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.47 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Royals | 75c | 3,002$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cardinals | 38c | 2,637$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.88 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…5932backed Royals | 75c | 2,247$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 74cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Royals | 63c | 2,075$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cardinals | 23c | 2,075$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.57 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Royals | 48c | 1,733$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.1 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 63c | 1,532$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.96 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 54c | 1,495$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.39 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 41c | 1,397$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Royals | 73c | 1,373$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.32 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Cardinals | 73c | 1,315$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.88 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…fb1fbacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,302$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Royals | 72c | 1,152$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.51 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cardinals | 28c | 1,130$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.08 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Cardinals | 34c | 987.1$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.98 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Royals | 69c | 985.91$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.28 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Royals | 76c | 897.41$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.22 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…4faabacked Cardinals | 23c | 742.48$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 45c | 729.6$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.32 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Royals | 70c | 710.1$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.41 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 76c | 692.36$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.35 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 45c | 670.46$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cardinals | 50c | 640.97$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.19 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Royals | 51c | 600$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Royals | 44c | 598.22$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Royals | 55c | 582.11$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.16 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Royals | 60c | 544.03$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Royals | 48c | 500$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Royals | 53c | 472.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Cardinals | 22c | 468.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.23 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Royals | 79c | 462.65$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.49 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Cardinals | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 52c | 390$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Royals | 47c | 380$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 317.7$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.32 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Cardinals | 54c | 299.93$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 45c | 267$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Cardinals | 17c | 263.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.89 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 38c | 262.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 72c | 231.94$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cardinals | 54c | 222.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Royals | 60c | 219.47$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cardinals | 30c | 209.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044c…a476backed Royals | 73c | 194.87$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…6550backed Royals | 48c | 193.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44f…9756backed Cardinals | 55c | 187.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Cardinals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cardinals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Royals | 45c | 168.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cardinals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals | 52c | 158.38$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Royals | 47c | 156.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Cardinals | 29c | 145.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…d0afbacked Royals | 48c | 137.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…2338backed Cardinals | 55c | 128.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Cardinals | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b41…88cabacked Royals | 46c | 117.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Cardinals | 48c | 114.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Royals | 52c | 114.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…8e76backed Cardinals | 55c | 106.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Cardinals | 48c | 102.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 102.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Royals | 77c | 99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 53c | 93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Royals | 69c | 92.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Royals | 47c | 79.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 53c | 77.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Royals | 45c | 71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…501bbacked Cardinals | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a2…92f8backed Royals | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…4a4abacked Cardinals | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Royals | 62c | 64.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…2ee0backed Royals | 47c | 64.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…ef93backed Royals | 50c | 64.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…f0abbacked Royals | 62c | 64.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…82e8backed Royals | 79c | 62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Cardinals | 54c | 59.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 54c | 58.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…faafbacked Royals | 48c | 57.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Royals | 74c | 53.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…934fbacked Royals | 54c | 50.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Cardinals | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…f0adbacked Cardinals | 55c | 49.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x119e…e353backed Royals | 47c | 45.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cardinals | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Royals | 46c | 43.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Royals | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.