MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e9b25132424d09f238038e734314bf72f4c372d0d6202c7300b7ac64acdb424
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Red Sox, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Yankees | 64c | 22,222$14,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.92 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Red Sox | 1c | 19,865$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 36c | 11,832$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.52 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 7c | 10,783$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.38 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Yankees | 63c | 10,017$6,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.45 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Red Sox | 0c | 6,953$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox | 36c | 6,193$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.53 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 36c | 2,999$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.34 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 30c | 2,854$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.36 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 36c | 2,848$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.46 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 33c | 2,802$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.36 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Red Sox | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 16c | 2,306$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.15 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 5c | 2,089$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yankees | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Yankees | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Red Sox | 35c | 1,983$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.05 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Red Sox | 3c | 1,860$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…cc3abacked Red Sox | 37c | 1,800$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 68c | 1,619$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.66 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 37c | 1,587$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.36 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Red Sox | 1c | 1,544$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…fb1fbacked Yankees | 66c | 1,520$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Red Sox | 7c | 1,379$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Red Sox | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Red Sox | 36c | 1,105$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Red Sox | 2c | 1,100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…fd6cbacked Yankees | 64c | 999.97$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 36c | 999.95$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Red Sox | 4c | 904.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Yankees | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Red Sox | 5c | 774.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Sox | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees | 64c | 599.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Red Sox | 35c | 575.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.39 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Red Sox | 6c | 531.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 6c | 501.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Red Sox | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Red Sox | 6c | 492.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed Yankees | 64c | 469.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 6c | 453.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Red Sox | 3c | 423.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 60c | 395.23$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Yankees | 64c | 387.5$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yankees | 64c | 386.5$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Yankees | 64c | 375.14$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Red Sox | 6c | 360.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yankees | 63c | 317.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Red Sox | 6c | 309.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Red Sox | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Red Sox | 36c | 299$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Red Sox | 7c | 283.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Red Sox | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Red Sox | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Red Sox | 6c | 245.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked Red Sox | 6c | 240.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…5921backed Red Sox | 36c | 221$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Red Sox | 36c | 218$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Red Sox | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…8e76backed Yankees | 65c | 193.34$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Red Sox | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…29b5backed Yankees | 65c | 163.42$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Yankees | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Red Sox | 35c | 152.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb217…5b91backed Red Sox | 36c | 150.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…cf9cbacked Red Sox | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 24c | 149.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…ce76backed Yankees | 65c | 145.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…f0adbacked Red Sox | 36c | 145.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Red Sox | 12c | 143.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…8fedbacked Red Sox | 36c | 142.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…2e3abacked Red Sox | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Red Sox | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox | 36c | 120.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…d0afbacked Red Sox | 36c | 118.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749a…6103backed Yankees | 64c | 115.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Red Sox | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Yankees | 77c | 109.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 14c | 107.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44f…9756backed Red Sox | 36c | 105.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Red Sox | 20c | 102.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Red Sox | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Red Sox | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…1319backed Red Sox | 36c | 97.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Red Sox | 35c | 97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 36c | 94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…80a4backed Red Sox | 36c | 93.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…6e69backed Yankees | 65c | 91.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Red Sox | 38c | 89.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Yankees | 64c | 85.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…2ee0backed Yankees | 65c | 80.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…b2f0backed Red Sox | 36c | 79.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…2338backed Yankees | 65c | 79.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…0e4dbacked Yankees | 65c | 78.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.