WNBA · resolved market
Lynx vs Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x657f03bb584051d96daed5a26bfb8bba988afb2380babeac8779e874023e7e01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Lynx, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 16c | 7,928$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.2 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valkyries | 13c | 5,266$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.22 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Valkyries | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Valkyries | 10c | 2,835$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.94 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Valkyries | 1c | 2,493$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Valkyries | 23c | 1,126$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Valkyries | 19c | 700$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Valkyries | 6c | 475$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Valkyries | 7c | 351.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lynx | 80c | 270.6$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Lynx | 78c | 243.78$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…8b5cbacked Valkyries | 32c | 155.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Valkyries | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Valkyries | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…8d32backed Valkyries | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Valkyries | 23c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Lynx | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Lynx | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.