Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kentucky vs. Texas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9697f8b70938248e584d367b1196080f4d6833180a317982d3a5357a4a5dbb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texasof Kentucky, Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Texas | 64c | 25,689$16,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,265.71 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Kentucky | 39c | 17,981$7,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,055.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kentucky | 32c | 5,949$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.9 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Kentucky | 38c | 1,453$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.56 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Texas | 66c | 1,166$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kentucky | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Kentucky | 37c | 659.54$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Kentucky | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Texas | 52c | 608.34$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.63 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867f…2bbbbacked Kentucky | 38c | 565.83$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kentucky | 33c | 489.86$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Kentucky | 40c | 466.15$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.46 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7febbacked Kentucky | 45c | 450$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Texas | 61c | 300$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kentucky | 35c | 205$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Kentucky | 41c | 175.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Texas | 64c | 163.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Kentucky | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…3eeebacked Kentucky | 38c | 130.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Texas | 55c | 103.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…774ebacked Kentucky | 38c | 52.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Kentucky | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kentucky | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.