TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Padres vs. Dodgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Padres, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$396,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$410,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Padres35c217,980$76,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,213.0616643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers65c102,726$66,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,953.9435854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Dodgers75c73,666$55,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,527.9215353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers65c45,052$29,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,568.3486751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed Padres11c25,000$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.143531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers65c10,503$6,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,655.111,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dc…ed37backed Dodgers66c10,200$6,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.27450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres16c7,281$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Padres35c6,098$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.315944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers67c6,036$4,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.6832852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers63c4,956$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.382,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Padres52c4,655$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40020150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Dodgers63c3,918$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.041,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Padres33c3,659$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.4219650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers65c3,331$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.099,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Padres35c3,125$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.7517354.9%95 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dodgers65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Dodgers66c2,311$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.617758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Dodgers65c2,280$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7981,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe6…5cf6backed Dodgers71c2,093$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.181643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Padres50c2,010$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Dodgers70c1,984$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.1840547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Dodgers51c1,969$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.2925550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Padres61c1,870$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.4368769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Padres33c1,763$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.6698149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers65c1,657$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.5471751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Padres29c1,534$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Padres39c1,497$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.282416.7%4 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Padres36c1,304$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.8125835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers56c1,283$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.971,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Padres3c1,250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2504%2 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-86.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Padres35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Dodgers66c1,135$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.97164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Dodgers63c1,102$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.1265549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Padres41c1,061$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.7230928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Padres19c1,055$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Padres23c1,040$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24015644.9%70 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Padres35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23a8…7f02backed Padres35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Padres9c993.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.891,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Dodgers65c941.68$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.5960249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Dodgers60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3329240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Dodgers66c799$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.6627751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…509abacked Padres9c705.01$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Padres35c678.37$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4318748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Dodgers65c671.48$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0276456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Padres39c630.75$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2463336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc076…3303backed Dodgers61c596.88$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.33243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2eab…b026backed Padres35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers63c559.28$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.491,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.566645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Dodgers66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1705050%25 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Padres45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007556%42 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Padres48c428.63$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4717754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Padres36c412.34$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6152542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Padres36c383.7$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9519742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres21c378.4$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8139436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Dodgers66c376.95$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1610550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Dodgers67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1318247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Padres37c331.69$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.348543.5%37 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Dodgers66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0313450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0326651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5138455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Padres58c296.59$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.027256.9%41 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Padres23c289.39$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2424040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Padres19c258.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9327…9ea2backed Dodgers67c251.83$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.073357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aea…e3adbacked Dodgers67c229.59$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.842748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb5…f6fcbacked Padres35c223.8$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.333231.3%10 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-41.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbc0f…43e2backed Padres13c221.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb89a…fe5fbacked Dodgers67c221.13$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.523262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Padres23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad9e…ca58backed Padres36c208.08$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.23551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Padres10c207$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.586,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Dodgers65c199.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres51c197.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Dodgers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0847850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2107…d72fbacked Padres35c195.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.293366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Padres36c193.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5832832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Dodgers55c182.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0928453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Dodgers66c181.82$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.823650%18 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x758c…6730backed Dodgers67c180.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.813063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Padres11c177.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ee…568cbacked Padres35c172.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.263141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba95…7534backed Padres35c171.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.983056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf29a…adb7backed Padres35c167.49$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.623250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked Dodgers66c164.12$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.82941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b0…4b04backed Dodgers66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Dodgers66c151.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5156351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Dodgers65c150.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8942955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5001…49c3backed Dodgers67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Dodgers66c143.94$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9414654.8%80 W · 66 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd254…80a2backed Padres46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde4…194cbacked Padres16c126$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers75c110.01$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63e8…aeb6backed Dodgers66c109.34$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.892962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…f91abacked Padres35c108.63$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.993336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa712…9929backed Dodgers67c104.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.233262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.