Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina vs. Florida State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa65c11ebb601c2276ddae1b63903d423921f771c0ead5f99b82b17f09c248d03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolinaof North Carolina, Florida State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed North Carolina | 60c | 1,271$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.64 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Florida State | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Florida State | 42c | 531.75$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.75 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked North Carolina | 58c | 521.56$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.38 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed North Carolina | 63c | 486.26$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked North Carolina | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Florida State | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a08…f344backed Florida State | 66c | 158$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Florida State | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked North Carolina | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…58b2backed Florida State | 43c | 128$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Florida State | 40c | 127.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Florida State | 40c | 113.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6c…19e3backed Florida State | 44c | 113$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…60d2backed North Carolina | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6661…8c71backed North Carolina | 34c | 108$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…0573backed Florida State | 44c | 102$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a4…fdeabacked North Carolina | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…bb94backed North Carolina | 34c | 95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa06d…c0b3backed Florida State | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3a…36e2backed Florida State | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c2…4032backed North Carolina | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5034…4160backed Florida State | 44c | 82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a8…c183backed North Carolina | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…6e19backed Florida State | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae71…5691backed North Carolina | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…6b01backed North Carolina | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae2…4727backed North Carolina | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bd…6ff4backed North Carolina | 34c | 56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…a7c8backed Florida State | 66c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Florida State | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada9…2307backed Florida State | 44c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…e6ecbacked North Carolina | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…a395backed Florida State | 66c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…0c90backed North Carolina | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…5e79backed North Carolina | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db6…6edcbacked North Carolina | 34c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d69…c737backed Florida State | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…414ebacked North Carolina | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ae…60c4backed North Carolina | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed North Carolina | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a7…c4f6backed Florida State | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…c3c8backed North Carolina | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…9b8dbacked North Carolina | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…8680backed Florida State | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c7…e888backed North Carolina | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf473…4bf0backed Florida State | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…4f08backed North Carolina | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1721…59d6backed Florida State | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc752…ad7dbacked Florida State | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d37…4874backed Florida State | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.