Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cornell vs. Harvard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x912d486a3364099ba39628c7865d98f9f9c89578d3c08d0f4177202aa304f447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harvardof Cornell, Harvard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cornell | 18c | 9,658$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.11 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Harvard | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Cornell | 10c | 298.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…2478backed Cornell | 68c | 119$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…da1bbacked Harvard | 32c | 105$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Harvard | 28c | 89.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…1156backed Cornell | 71c | 77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…d3ebbacked Harvard | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9d55backed Harvard | 29c | 67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cornell | 69c | 64.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Harvard | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cornell | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9b…7ccbbacked Harvard | 29c | 59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654c…21bebacked Cornell | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Cornell | 71c | 41.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cornell | 72c | 41.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef9…6815backed Harvard | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…bdacbacked Harvard | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…5258backed Cornell | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bb…b014backed Cornell | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5db…1c06backed Cornell | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…2d53backed Cornell | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…4bccbacked Cornell | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b5…2288backed Cornell | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301d…bd24backed Cornell | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c9…9332backed Cornell | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…595abacked Cornell | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6915…d15abacked Cornell | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc73…9cb8backed Harvard | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…8dd8backed Cornell | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Cornell | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…4f73backed Harvard | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.