TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cardinals vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Cardinals, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Rangers44c10,306$4,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,722.2114747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers45c6,666$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.2298149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Cardinals0c4,520$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44504%2 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-86.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Cardinals55c3,675$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.269249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers45c3,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9251,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Cardinals56c3,029$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.0949250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals54c2,191$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.779,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Cardinals1c2,046$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4912314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cardinals53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0601,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b56…4a30backed Rangers45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Cardinals55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Cardinals17c1,800$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29830928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals1c1,775$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.225053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals52c1,608$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.351,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals3c1,451$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals25c1,242$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.821,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Cardinals55c1,119$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.5997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf52…7660backed Cardinals55c1,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rangers47c1,075$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.8888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals10c1,007$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.252542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ecb…070fbacked Cardinals57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5702462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Cardinals54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Cardinals54c910$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.415949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…8d36backed Cardinals55c909$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Rangers46c900$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48620450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Cardinals23c834.02$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.868530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbd6…a014backed Rangers42c750$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f51…e179backed Cardinals1c717.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Cardinals56c655.74$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.2233349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Cardinals54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32468656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f51…097ebacked Cardinals58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3481250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Cardinals55c581.82$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206038.3%23 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rangers46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a98…e6dabacked Rangers45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x399d…01dabacked Cardinals54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals53c478.22$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.465,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f4…fd6fbacked Rangers46c459.61$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1b…f07abacked Rangers46c457.62$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.098100%8 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Cardinals57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a1…2c92backed Rangers46c416.5$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+64.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Cardinals55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfde0…3f06backed Rangers47c387.57$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.41944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c5b…ecd4backed Rangers47c385.38$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals38c382.71$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.712,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f7…6d77backed Rangers46c376.46$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals54c375.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1c8…074cbacked Cardinals55c361.31$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.721154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Cardinals56c358.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfc…6e30backed Rangers47c357.49$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.47650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a2…ecdfbacked Cardinals55c348.04$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.42825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fc5…82d1backed Cardinals55c347.02$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.861050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf342…f9cdbacked Cardinals54c342.93$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe858…6145backed Cardinals55c339.75$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe142…86d5backed Cardinals56c334.96$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.81752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafdf…9127backed Cardinals55c330.11$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe811…8d16backed Rangers47c325.46$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfada…9502backed Cardinals55c319.05$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cbc…a87dbacked Cardinals54c316.28$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ed…2fefbacked Cardinals55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Cardinals54c299.98$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9914549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af1…8ff2backed Cardinals55c298.04$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.92850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Cardinals5c294$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9413021.5%28 W · 102 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4415…89cfbacked Cardinals55c286.35$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2252…3f47backed Rangers47c280.28$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.551070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Rangers46c280.09$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2524350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3a…9b0ebacked Rangers47c279.02$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Cardinals54c244.74$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.168749.4%43 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…93e6backed Cardinals55c226.36$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals55c223.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5103…88b9backed Rangers45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Cardinals56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11233852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals54c199.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Cardinals55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007042.9%30 W · 40 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals56c179.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.571,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals59c169.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rangers70c165.1$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9840547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4016…c9e2backed Cardinals54c159.26$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals7c159$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.378762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe22…397ebacked Cardinals58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd958…2ee0backed Rangers44c130.38$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.682951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ee…084abacked Cardinals55c124.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Rangers46c119.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5712549.6%62 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f2…55c6backed Rangers46c118.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.21683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick45cpaid+90.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals55c118.6$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.231,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…6db3backed Rangers46c115.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb05a…398bbacked Rangers45c100.89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.493148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Cardinals55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5519849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Cardinals55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5578454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rangers41c99.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5944443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4206…3187backed Cardinals57c99.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.82860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Rangers46c99.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7913254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Cardinals43c97.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.339550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Cardinals54c96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.740352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers62c95.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.144,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac46…ca4abacked Cardinals55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc782…3fc5backed Cardinals59c88.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a85…e63bbacked Cardinals59c83.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0624…faafbacked Cardinals55c83.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.413148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Cardinals36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.