MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f3ff1f2a3b13bc3ece84744a1dcb0b893db4cf175e0c14967434b274c0546b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Astros | 51c | 20,853$10,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,217.81 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 48c | 18,295$8,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,781.62 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Astros | 52c | 18,181$9,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,726.83 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 49c | 17,480$8,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,565.09 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Astros | 52c | 15,000$7,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,207.11 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Astros | 55c | 5,522$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.88 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 31c | 5,239$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 45c | 4,800$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Guardians | 46c | 4,492$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.41 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Astros | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Guardians | 46c | 3,680$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Guardians | 1c | 3,629$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Guardians | 46c | 3,382$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.1 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 45c | 2,793$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.15 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 48c | 2,779$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.92 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 9c | 2,510$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.64 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 46c | 2,312$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.38 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 48c | 2,257$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.64 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 48c | 2,006$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Astros | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Guardians | 49c | 1,967$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.67 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Guardians | 47c | 1,959$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.84 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Guardians | 46c | 1,938$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.46 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Astros | 79c | 1,722$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.86 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Astros | 67c | 1,721$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.78 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Guardians | 24c | 1,593$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.84 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Guardians | 20c | 1,127$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.56 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 54c | 1,026$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.92 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Astros | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 48c | 891$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.68 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Guardians | 36c | 890$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Astros | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 47c | 849.01$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.57 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 62c | 806$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.74 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Guardians | 7c | 643.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 49c | 584.32$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.32 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Astros | 53c | 538.94$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.3 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians | 20c | 524.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 17c | 514.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Astros | 52c | 504$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Guardians | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Astros | 54c | 459$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.14 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Astros | 52c | 430$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.25 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Astros | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d603backed Guardians | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Guardians | 49c | 373.47$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Guardians | 3c | 360$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Astros | 56c | 358.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.84 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Guardians | 50c | 344$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Astros | 59c | 338.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Guardians | 48c | 333$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.91 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Guardians | 47c | 314$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Guardians | 11c | 286$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Guardians | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…1cadbacked Astros | 55c | 261.89$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Guardians | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd39…b24cbacked Guardians | 63c | 234.41$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…faafbacked Guardians | 46c | 218.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…aab9backed Guardians | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…c1a0backed Guardians | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Guardians | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Guardians | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…9787backed Guardians | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Astros | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…5921backed Guardians | 48c | 178$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Guardians | 12c | 177.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 17c | 170.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…3187backed Astros | 54c | 168.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Guardians | 49c | 154$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Guardians | 46c | 128$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x119e…e353backed Guardians | 47c | 124.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…57c1backed Guardians | 46c | 118.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…e769backed Astros | 51c | 112$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…714abacked Guardians | 49c | 112$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…8a60backed Astros | 56c | 110.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…5ca5backed Guardians | 46c | 109.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff0…7881backed Guardians | 47c | 108.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Guardians | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Astros | 54c | 107.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…2e3abacked Guardians | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Guardians | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…5519backed Guardians | 46c | 101.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…8e76backed Guardians | 47c | 100.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Astros | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Guardians | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Astros | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Guardians | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Astros | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…4b22backed Astros | 55c | 97.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325d…515cbacked Astros | 55c | 97.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…3403backed Guardians | 47c | 96.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287b…647abacked Astros | 56c | 96.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Astros | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.