TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Kraken, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,888

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,109 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Blues58c28,454$16,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,972.787758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Kraken41c14,062$5,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,785.1822842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken39c12,179$4,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,808.0292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken42c7,300$3,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.911,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Kraken43c5,437$2,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.2836242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Blues72c4,150$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.0985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Blues62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5201070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Blues64c3,040$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.2432331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8267…d206backed Kraken44c2,727$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3484…22e9backed Blues57c2,679$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken42c2,639$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.297651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Blues57c2,069$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.7610451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Blues56c1,330$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.5815663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kraken43c1,057$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.449351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blues58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kraken42c716$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken42c705$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.3672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken42c585.87$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.061,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kraken42c511.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Kraken43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2158537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Kraken42c475$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.536349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kraken42c379.72$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4860549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Kraken44c228.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Kraken47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f6…2e19backed Blues57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe102…8235backed Kraken43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked Kraken42c199.94$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.977550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cb…bcb2backed Blues59c178.41$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blues57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb0…823fbacked Blues58c156.57$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.421560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x399e…119abacked Kraken44c150.68$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.31560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1be8…1dd6backed Kraken43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27cc…9b13backed Blues57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Kraken45c141.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.748050%40 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49a0…eeacbacked Blues50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13de…0f8cbacked Kraken43c131$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.641650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Kraken42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken42c119.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Kraken42c112.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.391,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fb…f97abacked Kraken42c107.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d3…7e80backed Blues55c105$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1b…93c4backed Blues50c103$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaccd…0597backed Blues59c100.65$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.41353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kraken31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Blues58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Kraken42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4222246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Blues56c99.97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce65…bacbbacked Kraken50c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9abf…1efcbacked Kraken50c89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blues57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5faf…a1d1backed Blues57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.723647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Kraken42c85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.79459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Kraken43c81.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.215730.6%48 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee06…80bdbacked Blues58c80.47$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.81540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Blues68c70$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.682646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f2…3d1abacked Kraken45c62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8f…140abacked Blues50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc553…38a7backed Blues58c55.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.161675%12 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blues54c53.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x261c…6b74backed Kraken44c51.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.612050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Kraken42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2158346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3660…8c06backed Blues59c49.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.36650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d82…2714backed Blues57c45.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa79…83e2backed Kraken44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x205d…5f37backed Blues57c44.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.061040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ff…c60dbacked Kraken43c43.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.761844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf49…58febacked Kraken44c43.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x907c…7947backed Kraken50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e07…158cbacked Blues57c41.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb2…6507backed Blues58c39.28$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…ccd3backed Blues59c38.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x648b…89b4backed Kraken42c38.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7054…6d9bbacked Kraken44c36.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.091637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb398…170abacked Kraken44c36.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x368c…b415backed Kraken42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c7…35a8backed Kraken42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f8…4d29backed Kraken42c35.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb989…2f2abacked Blues57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Kraken42c34.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.462944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3346…0aa4backed Blues57c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea9…790bbacked Kraken44c28.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789e…c510backed Blues71c28.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.131060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Blues57c28.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0745954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8f…d41ebacked Kraken44c27.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65f…4af4backed Blues57c27.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…ffdebacked Kraken42c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…9093backed Blues56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.798638.4%33 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Blues57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3215549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5283…1a3cbacked Blues57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e5…91eebacked Kraken43c25.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c9…beadbacked Kraken44c25.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…84bdbacked Kraken44c25.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f86…5df2backed Blues57c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0496…66d9backed Kraken44c23.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6998…6c61backed Kraken45c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8472…1955backed Blues57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.051241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc55c…fe7ebacked Blues58c20.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0626…bc27backed Blues57c17.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.