WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x209997a9b0dbf877e5756a60fd83d90ec2304318f57da911e6b5edb073759862
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Fever, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Sky | 39c | 13,787$5,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,442.07 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Fever | 60c | 7,470$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.74 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Sky | 2c | 4,188$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fever | 62c | 4,150$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.8 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fever | 60c | 3,817$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.82 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fever | 59c | 3,710$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.98 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sky | 40c | 3,088$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.29 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Fever | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fever | 60c | 2,218$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.94 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sky | 36c | 1,468$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.64 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Fever | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Sky | 29c | 899.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Fever | 59c | 503.75$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sky | 12c | 421$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Fever | 62c | 337.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Fever | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Sky | 41c | 293.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 43c | 234.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Sky | 41c | 229.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Fever | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Sky | 43c | 180.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Fever | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…d663backed Sky | 40c | 167.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Fever | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sky | 39c | 149.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Fever | 61c | 128$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sky | 24c | 126.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Sky | 15c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sky | 36c | 77.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Fever | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Sky | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Fever | 61c | 52.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Sky | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sky | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Fever | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Sky | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Fever | 62c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…8b5cbacked Fever | 59c | 37.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Fever | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Fever | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Fever | 62c | 18.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.