WNBA · resolved market
Sky vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9aeab2a492f1b8c4195af5e3a1da6d7037c3d30000cb2ffab09e8e0a7e6a5c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skyof Sky, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Sky | 48c | 2,860$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Wings | 43c | 2,321$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.04 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Wings | 4c | 608.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wings | 57c | 502.33$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.33 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wings | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sky | 61c | 214.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wings | 45c | 185.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Sky | 43c | 122.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Sky | 61c | 114.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Sky | 39c | 97.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Wings | 19c | 87.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Wings | 59c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sky | 53c | 81.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Wings | 56c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Wings | 60c | 69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +206.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Sky | 80c | 56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wings | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Wings | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wings | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sky | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Wings | 55c | 41.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Sky | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Wings | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sky | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Sky | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.