Tennis · resolved market
Terra Wortmann: Cobolli vs. Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b8aa762f5422182bcea52accf94c75ffa301eb956e9ec782740034913f85a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Cobolli, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Cobolli | 13c | 19,086$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.77 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Cobolli | 13c | 9,921$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Cobolli | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Cobolli | 15c | 2,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cobolli | 15c | 2,429$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.81 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Cobolli | 13c | 1,909$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Cobolli | 14c | 1,879$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cobolli | 13c | 1,765$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.77 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Cobolli | 8c | 1,194$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Cobolli | 13c | 1,011$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cobolli | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Cobolli | 14c | 762$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Cobolli | 6c | 761.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cobolli | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Cobolli | 8c | 545.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Cobolli | 14c | 428.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cobolli | 8c | 408$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Cobolli | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Cobolli | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Cobolli | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Cobolli | 8c | 208$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Cobolli | 15c | 204.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Cobolli | 14c | 149.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.