WNBA · resolved market
Storm vs Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6791523c3f32fe8d233e066fec22134483e2f39fe55839cd06f1f31ef573bd65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Storm, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Storm | 50c | 7,054$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.03 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Valkyries | 35c | 5,262$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valkyries | 20c | 4,780$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valkyries | 25c | 4,064$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.84 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Storm | 79c | 3,573$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.67 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 20c | 2,632$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.1 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Storm | 80c | 2,491$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.86 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Storm | 80c | 2,300$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Valkyries | 71c | 2,085$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.51 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Storm | 27c | 2,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Storm | 65c | 1,315$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.49 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Storm | 80c | 1,293$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.26 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Valkyries | 20c | 1,192$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.23 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Storm | 79c | 876$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.04 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 19c | 525$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Valkyries | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 18c | 306.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Storm | 10c | 250.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Storm | 72c | 220.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Valkyries | 20c | 200.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Valkyries | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Storm | 30c | 191$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Valkyries | 20c | 102.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Storm | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Valkyries | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Storm | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Valkyries | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Storm | 59c | 48.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Valkyries | 69c | 34.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…c530backed Storm | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.