MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a3c2f2e593bfd2b1828b733c28277fd74e336599be6f3ecc1b94dc2488b265c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers | 67c | 12,500$8,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,377.39 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Padres | 31c | 9,791$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,790.72 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 64c | 8,571$5,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.91 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 30c | 7,492$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 55c | 7,421$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 33c | 6,057$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.81 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Dodgers | 69c | 5,616$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867.97 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 70c | 5,586$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Padres | 30c | 5,043$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530.43 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 31c | 4,555$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.89 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Dodgers | 37c | 3,305$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…d794backed Padres | 30c | 3,242$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Dodgers | 12c | 2,939$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.63 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Dodgers | 50c | 2,923$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.35 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Padres | 72c | 2,914$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.11 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Padres | 30c | 2,827$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.73 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Padres | 65c | 2,576$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.16 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Dodgers | 1c | 2,265$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Padres | 30c | 2,100$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Dodgers | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.98 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers | 7c | 1,947$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers | 68c | 1,940$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.03 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…75d2backed Dodgers | 58c | 1,804$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Dodgers | 67c | 1,736$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.73 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Dodgers | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Dodgers | 1c | 1,601$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…d4d8backed Dodgers | 70c | 1,510$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…0c06backed Dodgers | 70c | 1,499$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…23a6backed Dodgers | 70c | 1,478$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Dodgers | 41c | 1,327$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.24 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…4456backed Dodgers | 70c | 1,300$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Padres | 70c | 1,268$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.89 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…2361backed Padres | 30c | 1,245$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.67 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers | 31c | 1,164$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.3 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Dodgers | 70c | 1,136$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.96 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Padres | 30c | 1,111$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.7 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Dodgers | 57c | 1,075$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Dodgers | 28c | 1,049$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.4 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Dodgers | 71c | 1,032$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Dodgers | 13c | 1,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Padres | 41c | 893.33$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.59 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Padres | 29c | 855.17$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.17 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 27c | 786.34$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Dodgers | 13c | 737.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Padres | 50c | 679.33$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.13 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Padres | 71c | 662.04$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…2a3ebacked Padres | 65c | 647.92$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Dodgers | 24c | 645.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…0bbcbacked Dodgers | 70c | 642.86$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Padres | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Padres | 31c | 623.19$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Padres | 62c | 600.65$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.2 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Dodgers | 70c | 594$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Dodgers | 4c | 583.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…3d6fbacked Dodgers | 53c | 566.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 39c | 531.74$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfa…7f44backed Padres | 47c | 517.02$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Dodgers | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Dodgers | 8c | 463.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9539…cfdfbacked Dodgers | 9c | 433.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…cc9abacked Dodgers | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Dodgers | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Dodgers | 28c | 385$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Dodgers | 16c | 379.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Dodgers | 70c | 353.95$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.77 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Padres | 30c | 333.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 30c | 332.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.02 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Dodgers | 71c | 322.01$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.15 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers | 70c | 315.71$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Dodgers | 58c | 301.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Padres | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Dodgers | 29c | 299.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Dodgers | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Dodgers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd113…7c96backed Dodgers | 44c | 262.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers | 69c | 249.22$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 44c | 243.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.39 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Padres | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…918fbacked Padres | 70c | 218.81$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Padres | 68c | 203.74$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Dodgers | 69c | 199.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Dodgers | 59c | 169.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Dodgers | 12c | 169.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…580dbacked Padres | 47c | 161.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…fe5fbacked Padres | 31c | 155.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Dodgers | 53c | 150.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Padres | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Dodgers | 12c | 148.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Dodgers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Dodgers | 69c | 144.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dodgers | 64c | 144.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Padres | 37c | 143.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.