Tennis · resolved market
Terra Wortmann: Khachanov vs. Etcheverry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x181ca20137b6425b44452399d622c8859c29a74144008aff13c07c51bed652b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Khachanovof Khachanov, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Etcheverry | 30c | 10,001$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.99 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Khachanov | 70c | 7,772$5,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.24 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Khachanov | 76c | 3,068$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.34 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Etcheverry | 27c | 1,128$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.56 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Khachanov | 79c | 1,095$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.39 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Etcheverry | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Etcheverry | 28c | 922$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.6 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Khachanov | 71c | 637.74$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.94 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Khachanov | 73c | 520.26$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Khachanov | 70c | 410.44$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Khachanov | 69c | 325.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Etcheverry | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Khachanov | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Etcheverry | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Khachanov | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Khachanov | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Etcheverry | 29c | 130.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Khachanov | 72c | 71.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Khachanov | 73c | 69.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 2,348 | 46.5%1,092 W · 1,256 L | +54.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Etcheverry | 31c | 64.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…61b0backed Khachanov | 72c | 50.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Khachanov | 76c | 49.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Khachanov | 74c | 46.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Khachanov | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Khachanov | 70c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.