Tennis · resolved market
Terra Wortmann: Auger-Aliassime vs. Khachanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec560b359ddc7b270dc531fb3a6aac7f29ab0791a3445af1851c586021286ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Khachanovof Auger-Aliassime, Khachanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Khachanov | 52c | 3,233$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.61 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Auger-Aliassime | 39c | 1,800$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.89 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Khachanov | 56c | 1,424$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.74 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Khachanov | 42c | 1,000$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.76 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…6f3bbacked Khachanov | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf258…0cebbacked Khachanov | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…9261backed Auger-Aliassime | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Khachanov | 40c | 1,000$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.33 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9aa…8cb7backed Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbb…73bbbacked Khachanov | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…b03cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 875$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Auger-Aliassime | 64c | 860.91$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.98 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 834.37$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.65 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…8d19backed Auger-Aliassime | 56c | 747.82$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Khachanov | 79c | 655.16$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.16 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 618.2$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Khachanov | 50c | 556.09$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.05 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 553.44$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Auger-Aliassime | 40c | 437.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Khachanov | 44c | 432$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.85 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Khachanov | 48c | 418.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.23 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 410.7$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.78 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Khachanov | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Auger-Aliassime | 31c | 389.65$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Auger-Aliassime | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Auger-Aliassime | 40c | 350$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Khachanov | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 290.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Khachanov | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Khachanov | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Auger-Aliassime | 52c | 148.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 134$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…6196backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 125$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Khachanov | 44c | 114.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Khachanov | 50c | 112$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Auger-Aliassime | 34c | 109.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 106.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Khachanov | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Khachanov | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Auger-Aliassime | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Khachanov | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Auger-Aliassime | 27c | 61.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 53.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 39.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…5f5ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…4b3ebacked Khachanov | 50c | 34.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Khachanov | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Khachanov | 44c | 31.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Khachanov | 51c | 29.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…f7edbacked Auger-Aliassime | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.