MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e724382b6e640b945ce0655bdc1a85a4d279ddc6da82805c68a7805cb9b6b13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Twins, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Astros | 52c | 113,994$59,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,717.12 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 52c | 53,989$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,999.73 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Twins | 48c | 32,419$15,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,561.34 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 48c | 30,433$14,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,660.36 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 38c | 13,291$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,221.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Astros | 36c | 5,774$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.06 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 69c | 5,471$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.48 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 48c | 5,259$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.54 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 42c | 4,500$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Twins | 61c | 3,173$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.73 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Twins | 59c | 2,845$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.36 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Astros | 51c | 2,130$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.76 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Twins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Twins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Astros | 47c | 1,591$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.3 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 38c | 1,514$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.78 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Twins | 44c | 1,474$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Twins | 57c | 1,182$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.53 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 16c | 1,122$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.16 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Twins | 2c | 1,055$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Twins | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Astros | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 52c | 939.52$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.97 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Twins | 36c | 938.57$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Twins | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 25c | 730.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.42 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Astros | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Twins | 58c | 582.06$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.63 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Twins | 66c | 560.32$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.94 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 25c | 544.91$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.37 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 57c | 483$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.54 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Astros | 41c | 455.29$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Astros | 55c | 439.98$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Astros | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed Twins | 76c | 413.55$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.3 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 17c | 357.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.92 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Astros | 43c | 334.32$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.32 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 47c | 310.46$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…2edcbacked Twins | 54c | 308.72$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 46c | 232$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 44c | 227.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Astros | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Astros | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Astros | 33c | 162.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Twins | 75c | 153.85$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 46c | 151.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Twins | 60c | 150.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 43c | 148.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 43c | 125.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…27debacked Astros | 44c | 124.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 52c | 116$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Astros | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 56c | 101.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Twins | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Twins | 46c | 99.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Twins | 48c | 93.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Astros | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Twins | 46c | 84.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Twins | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Twins | 46c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Twins | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 44c | 79.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 50c | 79.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Astros | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Astros | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Astros | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Twins | 79c | 63.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Astros | 52c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Astros | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Astros | 45c | 53.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Astros | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Twins | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 66c | 46.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Astros | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…37dabacked Twins | 45c | 44.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Astros | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Twins | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Twins | 57c | 38.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 72c | 37.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Twins | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Astros | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Astros | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Astros | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Astros | 74c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Astros | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.