MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe18155dee051b511744b46b5903099bdd0240e6db46f411d251b3e660830a92b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Pirates, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Cubs | 58c | 357,296$208,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,465.76 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates | 42c | 199,614$83,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,837.71 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 40c | 106,543$42,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,515.66 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Cubs | 62c | 32,221$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,220.91 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 42c | 30,501$12,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,745.63 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pirates | 42c | 24,787$10,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,410.73 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 39c | 12,605$4,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907.19 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 37c | 10,284$3,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.21 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Cubs | 62c | 10,157$6,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Cubs | 57c | 10,104$5,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.61 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Pirates | 39c | 8,029$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.12 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Cubs | 57c | 6,966$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.41 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 41c | 6,758$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cubs | 59c | 6,448$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.68 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Pirates | 43c | 4,669$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.66 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 43c | 4,572$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 43c | 3,721$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.03 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Pirates | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.86 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Pirates | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.86 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pirates | 47c | 3,158$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.72 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates | 41c | 3,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Pirates | 38c | 2,977$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.61 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 5c | 2,521$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cubs | 57c | 2,300$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pirates | 44c | 2,036$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.85 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates | 45c | 1,978$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.24 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Pirates | 42c | 1,747$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.74 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cubs | 62c | 1,610$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.52 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs | 57c | 1,505$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.15 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cubs | 60c | 1,393$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.4 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pirates | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Pirates | 43c | 1,237$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 58c | 1,205$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.71 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Pirates | 41c | 1,040$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.4 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 39c | 1,038$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.7 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pirates | 41c | 1,025$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.25 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 38c | 1,002$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.65 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Cubs | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Pirates | 42c | 928.3$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.84 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cubs | 66c | 908.96$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.96 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Pirates | 21c | 838.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 57c | 779.39$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.87 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cubs | 37c | 741$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.24 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Pirates | 29c | 453.84$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Cubs | 58c | 431$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Cubs | 64c | 384.03$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Pirates | 15c | 371.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Cubs | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…24babacked Cubs | 64c | 293.75$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 38c | 264.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Pirates | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 38c | 214.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cubs | 59c | 199.78$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cubs | 68c | 177.21$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Cubs | 44c | 170.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Cubs | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Cubs | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 63c | 159.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 63c | 159.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 66c | 150.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Pirates | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pirates | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Cubs | 63c | 139$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Pirates | 36c | 127.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 42c | 119$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Cubs | 58c | 116$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Cubs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Cubs | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Cubs | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29fd…de15backed Pirates | 26c | 95.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Cubs | 61c | 93.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 43c | 91.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Cubs | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Cubs | 60c | 79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Cubs | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Cubs | 47c | 55.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 40c | 50.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Pirates | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cubs | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Pirates | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Cubs | 61c | 42.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Cubs | 62c | 41.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Pirates | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pirates | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…beafbacked Pirates | 39c | 33.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Pirates | 40c | 32.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Cubs | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…80ccbacked Cubs | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…c74ebacked Cubs | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.