MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb08c244893a43f2e3b12f795081a6b3f966d96cdaaff8329d525110f6b738255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 18c | 6,913$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.61 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 46c | 6,151$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.47 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cubs | 33c | 6,061$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 79c | 4,481$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.53 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 65c | 4,054$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.47 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 53c | 3,827$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.14 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cubs | 32c | 3,219$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mariners | 53c | 2,690$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.29 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Cubs | 28c | 2,100$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.85 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 54c | 1,887$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.33 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cubs | 2c | 1,750$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cubs | 5c | 1,451$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 46c | 1,300$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 27c | 1,247$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cubs | 15c | 1,187$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.28 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 23c | 1,035$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.55 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cubs | 24c | 1,026$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cubs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Mariners | 54c | 925$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 51c | 800$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Mariners | 76c | 779.33$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.11 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…580dbacked Mariners | 54c | 775.37$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Cubs | 16c | 622.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cubs | 18c | 560$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 35c | 553.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.78 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Cubs | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…afd0backed Cubs | 41c | 491.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 72c | 486.26$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.26 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mariners | 69c | 457.57$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.79 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 55c | 445.45$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.45 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cubs | 45c | 445.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cubs | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Mariners | 54c | 392.59$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mariners | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Cubs | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cubs | 48c | 344$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Cubs | 8c | 332.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Cubs | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Cubs | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 50c | 296.1$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cubs | 46c | 270$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Cubs | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cubs | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cubs | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Cubs | 36c | 240$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 49c | 233.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs | 47c | 222.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Cubs | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mariners | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Cubs | 47c | 166.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cubs | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mariners | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Cubs | 27c | 146.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mariners | 72c | 140.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 47c | 99.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Cubs | 36c | 98.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 18c | 81.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Mariners | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…2da2backed Mariners | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Cubs | 21c | 71.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 30c | 70.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Cubs | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Cubs | 18c | 65.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Cubs | 21c | 62.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Cubs | 24c | 58.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 71c | 55.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Mariners | 54c | 54.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Cubs | 41c | 49.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mariners | 52c | 45.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cubs | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Cubs | 33c | 40.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Mariners | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Mariners | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…3702backed Mariners | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Cubs | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cubs | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…d750backed Mariners | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Mariners | 71c | 24.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Cubs | 47c | 23.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cubs | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Cubs | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed Cubs | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Mariners | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Mariners | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Mariners | 70c | 19.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Mariners | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.