MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eecf991d3c1fedbb8aab98cc96d273bf278720f1e4bf43fd36424d8e33370ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 560 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Guardians | 56c | 125,656$70,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,416.83 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed White Sox | 44c | 41,237$18,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,242.24 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked White Sox | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 44c | 10,140$4,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,456 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 31c | 10,022$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox | 44c | 7,083$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 33c | 4,822$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.02 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 42c | 4,465$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.26 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed White Sox | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed White Sox | 29c | 2,845$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.56 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 3c | 2,660$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox | 44c | 2,423$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.06 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 44c | 2,188$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Guardians | 53c | 2,012$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.86 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Guardians | 59c | 2,000$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.05 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed White Sox | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked White Sox | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked White Sox | 1c | 1,770$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed White Sox | 59c | 1,736$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.87 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Guardians | 70c | 1,732$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.79 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Guardians | 70c | 1,583$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.98 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed White Sox | 19c | 1,577$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked White Sox | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Guardians | 56c | 1,331$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.51 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed White Sox | 43c | 1,251$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f86…3a77backed White Sox | 3c | 1,145$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Guardians | 53c | 1,123$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.3 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed White Sox | 3c | 906.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed White Sox | 42c | 660.76$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.91 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed White Sox | 41c | 614.25$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.84 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked White Sox | 26c | 589.77$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.46 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…0252backed White Sox | 42c | 530$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Guardians | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked White Sox | 42c | 499.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Guardians | 71c | 487.99$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked White Sox | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 77c | 448.05$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Guardians | 77c | 440.65$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked White Sox | 41c | 434.81$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.27 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab1…7784backed White Sox | 44c | 425$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 79c | 412.66$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…f8f2backed Guardians | 57c | 380$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 67c | 364.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Guardians | 56c | 363.76$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.06 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Guardians | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Guardians | 71c | 282$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked White Sox | 41c | 256.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…2a3ebacked Guardians | 59c | 245$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…5129backed White Sox | 22c | 225.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed White Sox | 45c | 220.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f4…1cbabacked White Sox | 42c | 205$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Guardians | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…bc0dbacked Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…6b5fbacked White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…fbe3backed Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…d536backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…a72abacked Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…ed65backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0669…8717backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…c492backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…95adbacked Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…b4c8backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…ee08backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e24…ab78backed Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1379backed Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…88d1backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a5…81f4backed Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…569ebacked White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…836cbacked White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…8149backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…43dfbacked White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcd…7ec6backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…8c53backed Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…ce4ebacked Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…7f11backed Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133d…0559backed Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…2883backed White Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…5a20backed Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.