Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Rune vs. Jarry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbb72b457a45fb2efae95efc87c320e7fbc4506494a8d14daa62272709f712ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jarry of Rune , Jarry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f43…fab3backed Rune | 52c | 11,160$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Jarry | 47c | 9,223$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,932.84 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Jarry | 50c | 8,230$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.9 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Rune | 62c | 4,700$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.75 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Rune | 28c | 2,450$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rune | 50c | 1,646$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rune | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Rune | 55c | 906.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rune | 75c | 861.77$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.33 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Jarry | 55c | 637.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.92 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rune | 48c | 550.41$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Rune | 55c | 529.55$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.25 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Rune | 41c | 517.49$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.69 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Jarry | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jarry | 22c | 481.6$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.65 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Rune | 52c | 480.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Jarry | 23c | 399.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.96 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rune | 40c | 328.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Jarry | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Jarry | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Jarry | 49c | 297.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Rune | 52c | 289$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Rune | 78c | 282.65$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.47 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Rune | 59c | 264.86$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…d4d8backed Rune | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Rune | 34c | 237.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Jarry | 25c | 232.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Rune | 80c | 220.8$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jarry | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Jarry | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rune | 77c | 199.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Jarry | 54c | 191$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Jarry | 25c | 189.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…e20fbacked Jarry | 60c | 172.26$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Jarry | 28c | 169$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Rune | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…38adbacked Jarry | 55c | 118.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Jarry | 61c | 100.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Jarry | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc968…1f44backed Rune | 77c | 96.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rune | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rune | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Jarry | 46c | 69.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Jarry | 25c | 66.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Jarry | 25c | 66.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Rune | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Jarry | 22c | 63.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Jarry | 25c | 49.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Rune | 40c | 46.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 103 | 72.8%75 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Rune | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x295c…a424backed Rune | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…0066backed Rune | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 60cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…f34abacked Rune | 77c | 33.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Rune | 51c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…35f5backed Rune | 77c | 25.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Jarry | 43c | 24.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.