TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon: Siniakova vs. Qinwen (W)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Siniakovaof Siniakova, Qinwen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf520…0637backed Siniakova46c7,156$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,832.7228043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Qinwen18c5,798$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.841,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Siniakova43c3,585$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0371,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Siniakova61c3,577$2,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.2728828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Qinwen38c3,014$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1388831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Qinwen66c2,807$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.6752844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Qinwen57c2,632$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012038.3%46 W · 74 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf747…f687backed Siniakova36c2,015$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.683253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Qinwen68c1,521$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02720155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Siniakova38c1,499$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.3496035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Qinwen56c1,438$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80012253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Qinwen64c1,316$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.2331650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Qinwen63c1,186$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Siniakova35c1,171$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.4239144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Siniakova36c1,111$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.113240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1953…5607backed Qinwen68c1,059$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.731172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Siniakova43c907.29$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.4710046%46 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Qinwen64c776.03$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.781450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c76…50fdbacked Qinwen65c774.11$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Siniakova38c769.19$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.022,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Siniakova39c648.64$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.6429636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Qinwen62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3721,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Qinwen61c537.57$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.929652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Siniakova48c520.41$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.4151243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Siniakova43c518.25$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.6928933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Siniakova69c510$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.981,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Qinwen61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30581938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Qinwen69c499.95$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3449149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Siniakova37c498.54$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.081,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Siniakova80c478.75$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.257943%34 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Siniakova35c464$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6995140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Qinwen52c448.34$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Siniakova36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2567238.9%28 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Qinwen66c316.83$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.1129553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Qinwen66c314.22$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.620447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Qinwen63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18915452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Qinwen56c270.85$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.79742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Siniakova37c270.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8111060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Siniakova38c259.83$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.846139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf16…946cbacked Qinwen48c256.55$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4293…220ebacked Siniakova44c251.48$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+80.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Siniakova36c244.97$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.782245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b8…8590backed Qinwen47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Siniakova49c203.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9214546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Siniakova37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Qinwen37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7422021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Siniakova38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1245042%21 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e25…96d6backed Qinwen66c189.73$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.221030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Siniakova40c189.63$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.772050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Qinwen64c174.07$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3217767.2%119 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Qinwen66c170.31$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.462952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Siniakova36c169.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4424529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a5…3d26backed Qinwen63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Siniakova51c158$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.078943.8%39 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Qinwen66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Siniakova29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.517349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Siniakova57c145.25$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Siniakova35c143$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9547639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Siniakova36c124$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.367850%39 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Siniakova36c123.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8414456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Qinwen66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e6…99e8backed Siniakova39c99.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.198061.3%49 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7474…4ebabacked Siniakova51c85.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.372030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Siniakova37c85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.553135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c3…b35abacked Siniakova44c80.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.163348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Qinwen63c79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.776070%42 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Qinwen64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Siniakova39c77.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6313044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…6968backed Qinwen60c74.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.93742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Qinwen40c70.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.296338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x697b…0d4ebacked Siniakova37c60.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.891625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Siniakova47c51.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2914949%73 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f72…9a74backed Qinwen63c50.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.752030%6 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Qinwen61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Siniakova37c49.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.837236.1%26 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Qinwen64c45.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9749955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Siniakova47c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0410651.9%55 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb42d…e428backed Siniakova72c33.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.271464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd876…767ebacked Siniakova37c33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b8…f035backed Siniakova45c32.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b9…3e7ebacked Siniakova38c31.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.381163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaef9…3b47backed Qinwen54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Siniakova36c29.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.131346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Qinwen65c27.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38eb…5257backed Siniakova40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155326.4%14 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef7…bd03backed Siniakova68c24.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.831154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeacf…ed1dbacked Qinwen64c23.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-75.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a2f…587bbacked Qinwen65c22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.24944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c7d…b468backed Qinwen63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Qinwen62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.49826.5%26 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0189…2841backed Qinwen73c16.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.