MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0c01e0733309624efc34a0adeb6997ae0aad707055acafd660e5d66c075abf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60bd…9521backed Reds | 45c | 9,999$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…803fbacked Red Sox | 55c | 9,998$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 54c | 5,327$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.25 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Red Sox | 58c | 4,200$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.98 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 46c | 2,426$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.1 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Reds | 45c | 2,111$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.99 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…3cc5backed Reds | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 54c | 1,987$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.21 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 45c | 1,974$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.5 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ad…9e0cbacked Reds | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Red Sox | 2c | 1,244$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Red Sox | 55c | 1,151$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.93 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d7…90babacked Red Sox | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 46c | 1,027$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.1 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…1924backed Red Sox | 55c | 1,009$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…886fbacked Red Sox | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…d10cbacked Red Sox | 55c | 964$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…3c0cbacked Reds | 45c | 962$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…1e99backed Reds | 45c | 938$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…5fd2backed Red Sox | 55c | 936$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…a6b9backed Red Sox | 55c | 927$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Red Sox | 31c | 764.26$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.12 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 2c | 599.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 21c | 570.39$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.26 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Red Sox | 54c | 551$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 21c | 425.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Red Sox | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Reds | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…8b3abacked Red Sox | 55c | 322.31$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…a726backed Reds | 46c | 322.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Red Sox | 4c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 48c | 299.51$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…09f1backed Red Sox | 55c | 293.09$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…b113backed Reds | 46c | 293.04$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Reds | 46c | 227$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Red Sox | 10c | 223.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Red Sox | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 56c | 215.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 45c | 214.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 29c | 200.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Red Sox | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Red Sox | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Reds | 46c | 153.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Reds | 46c | 153.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Red Sox | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Red Sox | 54c | 149$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Red Sox | 56c | 144.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Red Sox | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Red Sox | 13c | 124.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…92b9backed Reds | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…c192backed Red Sox | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…dff1backed Reds | 47c | 116$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 46c | 104$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Reds | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Red Sox | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bde…b009backed Reds | 47c | 95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Red Sox | 53c | 92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Reds | 45c | 89.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…b270backed Reds | 46c | 89.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Reds | 12c | 88.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…7abebacked Reds | 47c | 88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Reds | 46c | 87.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Reds | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…0a26backed Reds | 46c | 84.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…4106backed Red Sox | 54c | 83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…a0d7backed Red Sox | 54c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…70e9backed Red Sox | 55c | 77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox | 61c | 70.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…f320backed Reds | 48c | 70.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04d…a04bbacked Red Sox | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f02…3ad2backed Red Sox | 54c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Reds | 44c | 60.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 18c | 56.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Red Sox | 54c | 55.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Red Sox | 48c | 55.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Red Sox | 55c | 51.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Red Sox | 57c | 50.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Red Sox | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Red Sox | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…0d78backed Red Sox | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Reds | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005f…ea9fbacked Red Sox | 36c | 45.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Reds | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…5818backed Reds | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Reds | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…e7ddbacked Reds | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 169 | 83.4%141 W · 28 L | +20.1wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0084…4c4fbacked Red Sox | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.