MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81e063b2b24771ffc8188310a587d47a90b8287a976fb873be2a3932c1a423d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Nationals, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $827,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $886,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $827,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Nationals | 31c | 628,806$193,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193,571.72 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers | 69c | 124,391$85,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,559.98 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 69c | 98,986$68,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,388.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Brewers | 69c | 97,000$66,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,070 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers | 69c | 70,000$48,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,700 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 68c | 65,996$44,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,033.27 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Brewers | 69c | 30,000$20,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,300 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Brewers | 70c | 29,574$20,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,872.29 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Brewers | 70c | 28,986$20,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,695.77 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers | 72c | 23,476$16,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,685.84 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 69c | 19,194$13,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,965.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Brewers | 73c | 19,157$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,156.8 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Brewers | 73c | 16,402$11,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496.6 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 43c | 15,364$6,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,744.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 51c | 9,919$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,856.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers | 69c | 7,526$5,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.06 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 70c | 5,063$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.57 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Nationals | 30c | 5,034$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Brewers | 61c | 4,939$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.25 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Nationals | 30c | 4,873$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.6 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 29c | 4,756$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.47 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Brewers | 59c | 4,259$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.82 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 12c | 4,104$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.97 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Nationals | 74c | 4,041$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Nationals | 16c | 3,953$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.76 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers | 69c | 3,651$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.81 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Nationals | 41c | 3,194$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.95 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 68c | 2,547$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.53 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 64c | 1,977$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.19 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Nationals | 31c | 1,800$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Brewers | 57c | 1,741$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.86 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Brewers | 70c | 1,618$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.28 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 57c | 1,614$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.68 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Brewers | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Brewers | 43c | 1,301$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Nationals | 31c | 1,227$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.37 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Brewers | 74c | 1,221$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.19 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nationals | 29c | 1,103$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.23 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nationals | 26c | 1,102$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.52 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Nationals | 53c | 992.06$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.98 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers | 47c | 957.45$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.45 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Nationals | 64c | 949.88$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.98 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 29c | 898.16$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.47 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Brewers | 11c | 749.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.49 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Nationals | 74c | 716.99$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.39 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Nationals | 30c | 626.77$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Brewers | 78c | 583.73$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 69c | 579.71$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Brewers | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Brewers | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…12debacked Nationals | 29c | 512.34$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Brewers | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Brewers | 57c | 402.28$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nationals | 27c | 373.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Brewers | 57c | 351.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 51c | 345.6$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Brewers | 66c | 333.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.13 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 32c | 313.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Nationals | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Brewers | 72c | 289.86$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Brewers | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers | 57c | 255$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae73…188abacked Nationals | 79c | 252.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 68c | 240$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 30c | 238.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 78c | 215.84$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Nationals | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Nationals | 48c | 197.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Brewers | 70c | 197.22$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 29c | 179.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…5129backed Brewers | 37c | 175.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…8a1fbacked Brewers | 72c | 166.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Nationals | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Brewers | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Brewers | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Brewers | 71c | 130.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Brewers | 11c | 125.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Brewers | 52c | 116.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Brewers | 11c | 115.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Nationals | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Brewers | 71c | 108.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Brewers | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nationals | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…48dfbacked Brewers | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Brewers | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…3061backed Nationals | 31c | 98.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Brewers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Brewers | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Brewers | 63c | 84.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Nationals | 31c | 83.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Brewers | 64c | 79.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.