MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04bbc7190d246ecb5b5c89fcf396df6e0201da5244122bae34b5488b8f840ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Phillies, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $573,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $560,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $573,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Padres | 42c | 462,313$194,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267,377.77 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 58c | 199,371$115,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,196.48 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,500 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 58c | 46,766$27,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,007.43 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Phillies | 58c | 43,809$25,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,609.22 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Phillies | 57c | 34,983$19,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,940.31 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Phillies | 50c | 28,327$14,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,154.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 59c | 11,500$6,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,735 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 3c | 11,335$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.47 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 52c | 10,474$5,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,467.33 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 52c | 10,115$5,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,246.11 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7382…dafcbacked Phillies | 60c | 9,999$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdb…8eb1backed Padres | 40c | 9,999$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 58c | 5,473$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 53c | 5,259$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.28 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 59c | 4,676$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Phillies | 61c | 4,090$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 60c | 3,900$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 60c | 3,342$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.77 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Padres | 69c | 3,262$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.22 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Padres | 41c | 2,600$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Phillies | 61c | 2,445$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.45 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Phillies | 35c | 2,253$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.44 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 59c | 2,000$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Phillies | 59c | 1,970$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.3 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Phillies | 59c | 1,950$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Padres | 40c | 1,800$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.99 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Phillies | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Phillies | 1c | 1,661$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Phillies | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 39c | 1,125$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.34 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,105$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.71 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 39c | 999.97$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Padres | 72c | 993.3$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.31 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 61c | 906.11$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.55 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 38c | 900$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 32c | 768.54$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.45 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Phillies | 28c | 659.46$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.39 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Padres | 68c | 624.29$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.96 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 28c | 583.88$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 37c | 535$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Phillies | 60c | 525.42$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 29c | 490.79$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.64 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 60c | 486.67$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Padres | 39c | 451.97$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.7 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Phillies | 59c | 424$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.16 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Padres | 76c | 396.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Phillies | 58c | 386$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.27 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 46c | 340$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Phillies | 58c | 336$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Padres | 41c | 334.02$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.07 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Phillies | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Phillies | 38c | 312$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Padres | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 38c | 289$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Phillies | 59c | 274$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.42 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Phillies | 59c | 253.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Padres | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 57c | 233$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedf…bb71backed Padres | 41c | 214$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Padres | 48c | 207.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Phillies | 59c | 200.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Phillies | 26c | 200.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Padres | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Phillies | 69c | 199.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1131…2084backed Phillies | 60c | 198$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Phillies | 61c | 193.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Phillies | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…731cbacked Padres | 41c | 188$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…d92ebacked Phillies | 60c | 184$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 40c | 179.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 39c | 170$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Phillies | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Padres | 45c | 169.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Phillies | 58c | 168.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Phillies | 60c | 165.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Phillies | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Phillies | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…183ebacked Phillies | 61c | 163.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…e19bbacked Padres | 41c | 159$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609b…f9dabacked Phillies | 60c | 156$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Phillies | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…af86backed Phillies | 60c | 144$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…1c09backed Phillies | 61c | 140$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Phillies | 61c | 131.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…fbbebacked Padres | 41c | 131$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…35bfbacked Phillies | 60c | 130$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214f…4f95backed Phillies | 61c | 129$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03a…7495backed Padres | 41c | 128$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f608backed Phillies | 60c | 123$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Phillies | 27c | 121.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 66c | 117.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.