Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ff845043e03e0c51093c5b4b9a079cfabcd9789a00d3257b9f697bcf45e3b36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Under | 54c | 2,585$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 53c | 1,639$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.34 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ff…479fbacked Over | 47c | 1,324$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 999.9$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.95 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Over | 46c | 568.28$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.41 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 46c | 555$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Under | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 43c | 292.26$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 36c | 210.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 63c | 165.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed Over | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 36c | 102$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 39c | 101.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 54c | 89.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Over | 47c | 69.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 54c | 68.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Over | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 53c | 56.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…8ab7backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 53c | 53.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 39c | 52.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…bedabacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed Under | 54c | 35.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 37c | 30.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Under | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LNG Esports won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaLNG Esports won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLNG Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.