TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
LNG Esportsof LNG Esports, LGD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,127 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48b8…4b69backed LGD Gaming56c1,500$840 inLost-$840.4510648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked LNG Esports41c999.97$410 inWon+$589.981,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed LGD Gaming59c779.58$460 inLost-$459.952227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked LNG Esports45c466.93$211 inWon+$256.0975942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked LGD Gaming57c328.56$187 inLost-$187.281,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed LNG Esports41c324.52$133 inWon+$191.471,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed LNG Esports43c313.71$134 inWon+$179.944451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed LGD Gaming59c305.08$180 inLost-$18027050.7%137 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9f…31e3backed LNG Esports43c302.33$130 inWon+$172.332748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked LNG Esports67c300$201 inWon+$997100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed LGD Gaming33c300$99 inLost-$9933642.3%142 W · 194 L-1.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked LGD Gaming59c286$168 inLost-$167.8422142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked LGD Gaming58c258.62$150 inLost-$15022562.2%140 W · 85 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed LNG Esports42c249.63$105 inWon+$144.799748.5%47 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed LGD Gaming58c215.3$125 inLost-$124.875543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa68e…94b3backed LGD Gaming58c200$116 inLost-$116850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2139…7fe2backed LNG Esports42c200$84 inWon+$1161145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked LNG Esports48c179.79$86 inWon+$93.491,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked LNG Esports43c150$65 inWon+$85.523831.5%75 W · 163 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed LNG Esports53c120.52$64 inWon+$56.3439859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e83…a620backed LNG Esports42c116.48$49 inWon+$67.566253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3f9…b54ebacked LNG Esports43c114.35$49 inWon+$65.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed LGD Gaming58c110.98$64 inLost-$63.8960849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed LNG Esports45c100$45 inWon+$5510842.6%46 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed LNG Esports61c100$61 inWon+$3935054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed LNG Esports45c95.93$43 inWon+$52.821,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed LNG Esports43c93.42$40 inWon+$53.4232050%160 W · 160 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ca…a5d4backed LNG Esports42c71.43$30 inWon+$41.436259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed LGD Gaming57c59.96$34 inLost-$34.1862649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed LNG Esports43c52.33$22 inWon+$29.8347630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5857…3fc0backed LNG Esports43c37.68$16 inWon+$21.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed LGD Gaming57c35$20 inLost-$19.9557655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x002e…bd31backed LNG Esports43c33.88$15 inWon+$19.311553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed LGD Gaming56c30$17 inLost-$16.874849.6%371 W · 377 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed LNG Esports43c26.16$11 inWon+$14.9120439.2%80 W · 124 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked LNG Esports43c24.67$11 inWon+$14.0632053.8%172 W · 148 L+21.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed LNG Esports42c23.99$10 inWon+$13.9137548%180 W · 195 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.