Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Tirante
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf908e34283b6255cf025433332c5bcb78c21d2dd6a379e747f8bfa75fe98642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiranteof Cobolli, Tirante
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Cobolli | 49c | 901.71$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.45 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tirante | 47c | 600$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.16 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Tirante | 36c | 496.15$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.54 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tirante | 56c | 272.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.19 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tirante | 31c | 188.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.88 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Cobolli | 66c | 163.32$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Cobolli | 67c | 148.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Cobolli | 64c | 140.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Tirante | 53c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Cobolli | 70c | 109.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Cobolli | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tirante | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Cobolli | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Tirante | 43c | 67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…cf8dbacked Cobolli | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Cobolli | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Tirante | 40c | 49.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Cobolli | 47c | 41.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tirante | 64c | 37.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…8ab7backed Cobolli | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Tirantethis page
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin TiranteThiago Agustin Tirante won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)Tirante won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.