TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Movistar KOI
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$327,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$382,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp60c29,358$17,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,665.6492254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Karmine Corp63c27,500$17,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,080.32,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Movistar KOI30c22,079$6,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,592.541,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Movistar KOI35c12,507$4,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,323.3375942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Karmine Corp76c11,793$8,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.481,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Movistar KOI35c11,490$4,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,056.0646637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Karmine Corp55c10,073$5,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,532.7653750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Movistar KOI20c9,550$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.4997527.8%271 W · 704 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Movistar KOI40c9,239$3,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,738.0486136.2%312 W · 549 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Movistar KOI38c5,545$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10043539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Movistar KOI41c5,397$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.3910024%24 W · 76 L-10.3wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Karmine Corp61c5,219$3,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.2599756.6%564 W · 433 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Karmine Corp62c5,064$3,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.6689746.9%421 W · 476 L+43.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Movistar KOI45c4,973$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.4251146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed Movistar KOI42c4,850$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.2414930.9%46 W · 103 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Movistar KOI38c4,620$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.0417647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf775…a5b3backed Movistar KOI44c4,449$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Movistar KOI50c4,000$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.563746.5%296 W · 341 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Movistar KOI29c4,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.991,22348.6%594 W · 629 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Movistar KOI41c3,704$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.421,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Movistar KOI35c3,662$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.0786943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Movistar KOI44c3,565$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.6250242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Movistar KOI43c3,166$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.36850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp64c3,129$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.621,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b1…861bbacked Karmine Corp73c3,000$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9934448.8%168 W · 176 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Karmine Corp76c2,716$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.581,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Movistar KOI40c2,222$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.8242941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Movistar KOI37c2,151$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80029846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9587…408cbacked Karmine Corp57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86014754.4%80 W · 67 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Movistar KOI44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88090443.6%394 W · 510 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Karmine Corp57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Movistar KOI32c1,998$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.4454246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Movistar KOI24c1,941$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.271,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Movistar KOI45c1,812$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.1748338.7%187 W · 296 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x470c…2af9backed Movistar KOI22c1,767$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38916636.1%60 W · 106 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Movistar KOI45c1,757$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.453923.1%9 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Karmine Corp79c1,732$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.4274250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Movistar KOI38c1,680$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.488544.3%392 W · 493 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Karmine Corp55c1,650$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.512042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Movistar KOI27c1,643$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.771,26542.8%541 W · 724 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed Karmine Corp76c1,526$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.0225074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Movistar KOI37c1,505$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.42,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b9…8bddbacked Karmine Corp56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.992369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Movistar KOI36c1,475$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.3238154.3%207 W · 174 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Movistar KOI5c1,400$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7429527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Karmine Corp65c1,377$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.6494134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked Movistar KOI37c1,362$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.943358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36ad…2267backed Movistar KOI32c1,309$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.2917150.9%87 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Karmine Corp67c1,283$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.5219052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Karmine Corp72c1,254$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.831,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Movistar KOI14c1,200$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16865047.4%308 W · 342 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Movistar KOI47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.192,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Movistar KOI35c1,178$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.371,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Karmine Corp55c1,159$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.6296057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Karmine Corp55c1,150$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.481,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Movistar KOI44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009344.1%41 W · 52 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Movistar KOI29c1,122$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.191,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Karmine Corp58c1,111$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6252750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc177…7fbbbacked Movistar KOI20c1,101$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1116429.9%49 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Karmine Corp59c1,060$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4381,00948.2%486 W · 523 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Movistar KOI43c1,045$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.581,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Movistar KOI2c1,040$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8252538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Movistar KOI16c1,039$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.356432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Karmine Corp57c1,039$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.613538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Movistar KOI40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,22135.9%438 W · 783 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Movistar KOI17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17015147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Karmine Corp55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Movistar KOI50c988$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.177237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6c…72f5backed Movistar KOI7c970.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705925.4%15 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Karmine Corp54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9321946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca5e…4a1cbacked Karmine Corp56c898.73$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.2315552.3%81 W · 74 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Karmine Corp57c874.96$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.2384360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Movistar KOI29c845.87$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.772,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Movistar KOI10c763.22$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7341945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Karmine Corp57c750$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.559750.4%301 W · 296 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Karmine Corp68c749.99$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.561343.6%267 W · 346 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9e…7928backed Karmine Corp54c749.98$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d87…e214backed Karmine Corp76c703.48$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6526961.7%166 W · 103 L+22.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Karmine Corp57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7559647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Movistar KOI40c694.4$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9985852.3%449 W · 409 L+35.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Movistar KOI43c690.63$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9721754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Movistar KOI38c639.18$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0127034.8%94 W · 176 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Karmine Corp56c588.59$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9824935.3%88 W · 161 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed Movistar KOI36c556.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035633.7%120 W · 236 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Movistar KOI3c550$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1645618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed Karmine Corp56c531.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0615357.5%88 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed Karmine Corp57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3220151.2%103 W · 98 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Karmine Corp66c522.58$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5879864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…47fcbacked Karmine Corp54c510.49$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.835933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Movistar KOI40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20076030.3%230 W · 530 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Movistar KOI53c500$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6866942.9%287 W · 382 L-30.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed Karmine Corp59c500$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.58751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked Movistar KOI45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.995939%23 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Movistar KOI15c499.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75628.1%5 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa640…3b9fbacked Movistar KOI26c499.94$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13032948.6%160 W · 169 L+21.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x520a…ade0backed Movistar KOI23c453.95$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10514656.2%82 W · 64 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Movistar KOI36c449.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.533125.7%85 W · 246 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Movistar KOI45c445.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20067457.3%386 W · 288 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked Movistar KOI44c444.39$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5315731.2%49 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked Karmine Corp68c437.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9944153.3%235 W · 206 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.