Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6018f89d2935a3b9cfdeb7d45516a41f71dd5bce0ce02f8dadd2cd5323076806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Movistar KOI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Movistar KOI | 59c | 5,854$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,453.76 | 511 | 46.8%239 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 5,437$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.72 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Movistar KOI | 62c | 601.48$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.92 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…ef0cbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 508.09$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.02 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 336.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.63 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 178.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Movistar KOI | 57c | 141.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…3d52backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 133.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…8ee1backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 67.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Movistar KOI | 59c | 51.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 40.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Movistar KOI | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Movistar KOI | 57c | 18.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5)Movistar KOI won
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.