South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-05-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ce464a37d136ba52ea307cbf9e481c2a52c52e123768bd59de1a3170c937bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 6,658$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.42 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 3,150$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…99fcbacked Yes | 19c | 2,263$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Yes | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 10c | 501$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Yes | 18c | 309.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 17c | 293.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 11c | 152$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 18c | 144$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 81.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 19c | 79.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Yes | 16c | 62.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-05-12?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.