South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c312e365adab460c7cd8fd6ec56d8c19a5c54d452193a41673163195515400
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 35c | 19,920$7,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,051.8 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 13,064$7,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,276.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 970.31$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 900$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 56c | 514.83$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.04 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 19c | 380.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 360.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.35 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 33c | 304.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.86 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 73c | 287.12$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 4c | 276$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 64c | 261.72$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.02 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 34c | 199.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 67c | 198.26$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed Yes | 63c | 189.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 53c | 188.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 185.74$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.81 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 24c | 169.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed No | 69c | 150.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 34c | 147.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 61c | 126.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 21c | 119.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…2e22backed Yes | 76c | 110.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 56c | 104.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…47cbbacked No | 48c | 104.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 93.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed No | 70c | 79.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 69c | 78.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 75c | 42.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 61c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…f8ddbacked Yes | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Yes | 57c | 33.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…49c5backed No | 47c | 29.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 60c | 29.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 68c | 28.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 77c | 25.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes | 73c | 24.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 79c | 23.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Yes | 70c | 23.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…7b0fbacked Yes | 75c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 61c | 19.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 80c | 12.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-12?No won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-05-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.