TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,344
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,344 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes46c39,878$18,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,713.6118352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c6,783$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.551,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No40c4,779$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.832,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c4,676$2,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,847.998,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes29c3,793$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693.36949.3%34 W · 35 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c3,766$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.423,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked No54c3,541$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c2,880$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.865,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No54c2,637$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.855736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c2,337$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.671,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No55c1,600$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No55c1,558$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.2465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No54c1,138$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.5941256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No54c961.89$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.4227855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No54c928.99$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.7827349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No48c841.53$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.431,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No54c838.78$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45027549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf66…3436backed Yes40c835.55$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.323246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No55c800$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43619559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.743141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38516558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…920fbacked No54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344f…1a45backed No54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No54c551.07$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.131,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes49c544.31$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.69752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes45c540.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7714945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No60c491.54$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.911,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No54c486$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4430754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes40c451.93$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.1633266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No54c450$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.51,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7831745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No55c368$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes45c335.95$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.956735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15626745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked No18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5480%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16528851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16523056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No55c285$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7524956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No71c280.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes45c277.78$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7819144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No54c253.45$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.441,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No55c240$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13216559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No55c240$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13215857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes77c219.7$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.532,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No54c185.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No55c180$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.418959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8345…5928backed No62c177.42$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No52c166.69$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.684969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes21c165.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.913351.5%17 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+67%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No55c160$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.222058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes45c149.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3894848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes46c147.83$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.835050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No55c140$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7721657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No55c140$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7720360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No54c139.43$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No14c130.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.631,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c129$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.681,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No54c127.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.431,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No68c127.41$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.853836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No55c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.424257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.114242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No54c102.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7712948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No54c85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.95855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed No55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.65152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4415560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No55c79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.452,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No54c74.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes48c73.17$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1625044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No38c60.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.441654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No55c58.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2970055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Yes46c57.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.314355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b7e…9b98backed No55c54.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes36c52.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.781643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed No61c47.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.221931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No62c47.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6113248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed No54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7817255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2213465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No31c39.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3612755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes40c31.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.928665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked No54c30.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.263571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2725864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.517960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes54c29.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7841145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No54c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed No56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Yes44c26.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6110654.7%58 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…311fbacked Yes45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.753839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No62c22.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.977748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.917067.6%115 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87052.9%37 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5a4…d8b4backed No54c18.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.323652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No66c17.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7525866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.