South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c54b3f1d06cfd1d09abf2cad5381c448699e6effe1a49677e1c9e611a05c0e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 60c | 2,826$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.05 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 2,507$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 29c | 1,409$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.47 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 812.46$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 15c | 787.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 28c | 715.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.53 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 46c | 705.26$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.53 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 39c | 472.59$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.38 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 79c | 284.93$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 27c | 264.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.87 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 57c | 262.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 256.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 28c | 214.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 41c | 197.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 36c | 194.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.81 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 44c | 193.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 44c | 153.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 27c | 133.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 51c | 132.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…2e22backed Yes | 80c | 126.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 40c | 122.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 75c | 109.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 47c | 109.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed No | 13c | 105.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 101.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 24c | 90.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 74c | 88.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 81.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…5d0dbacked Yes | 79c | 80.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 33c | 75.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…60c0backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 65c | 63.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 60.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…e4bfbacked Yes | 33c | 57.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…7b0fbacked Yes | 62c | 48.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 63c | 47.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 27c | 43.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 42c | 43.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc67…6f13backed No | 67c | 41.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 60c | 36.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…c634backed Yes | 36c | 36.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed No | 57c | 33.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 45c | 32.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 67c | 25.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-13?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.