South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a9d9c3a9da740252ff733153f6878ec739ce78ed361fe71040022303b968a0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 72c | 2,509$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.38 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 2,508$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.32 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 712.77$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Yes | 28c | 710.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 46c | 492.06$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.23 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed No | 53c | 358.68$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 54c | 343.79$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.72 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 15c | 338.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 28c | 179.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 143.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 142$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 47c | 119.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 74c | 71.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed No | 58c | 68.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 43c | 58.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 58c | 43.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 49c | 41.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 51c | 39.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 43c | 37.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 49c | 30.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…c738backed Yes | 68c | 29.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed No | 52c | 29.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 64c | 27.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 62c | 24.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…ab79backed Yes | 52c | 21.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…6258backed Yes | 63c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…fd3abacked Yes | 77c | 13.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will CA Unión vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.