South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Unión win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fb2a030f0226399eda49b01aa8540f0c6e1bb8ca5591cd013e6c890ad3666be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 46c | 23,273$10,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,688.81 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 2,534$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.73 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 54c | 1,750$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 54c | 1,072$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 700$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.5 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 54c | 650$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 54c | 650$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 490.86$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 52c | 419$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.53 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 54c | 411.65$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 54c | 292$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 51c | 264.16$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.44 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 40c | 249.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 234$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 20c | 215.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 52c | 191.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 17c | 125.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 36c | 110.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 61c | 99.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 97.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 95.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 72c | 70.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 41c | 51.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 73c | 48.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Yes | 42c | 46.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 22.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabf…21dbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-03-06?No won
- Will CA Unión vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.