South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93c38c16fcaa1799e35a7a64e68c358f728693511dab1347164eedef6e49bc51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,149 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 70c | 31,143$21,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,430.84 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 31c | 16,950$5,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,183 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 30c | 13,102$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.26 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 11,729$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.09 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 31c | 9,437$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.56 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 70c | 5,947$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.42 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 68c | 4,943$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.21 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 70c | 4,441$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.84 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 4,329$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.7 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 33c | 2,744$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.78 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked No | 22c | 2,000$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.96 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 29c | 1,677$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.3 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 25c | 1,383$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.61 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 69c | 1,029$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.68 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 31c | 749.3$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.79 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 29c | 611.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 25c | 593.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 30c | 397.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 67c | 387.1$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 19c | 310$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 23c | 259.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 259$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 32c | 251.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 30c | 223$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 34c | 163.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 32c | 156.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed No | 19c | 149.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Yes | 66c | 140.77$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 33c | 135.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 33c | 133.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 30c | 132.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 131.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed No | 31c | 128$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 32c | 117.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 30c | 117.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 70c | 99.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 61c | 89.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 75c | 80.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…4368backed Yes | 71c | 70.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed No | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…462fbacked Yes | 67c | 62.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 26c | 53.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 19c | 53.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 55c | 48.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 71c | 46.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed No | 31c | 45.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Yes | 70c | 42.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 38c | 41.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6e…d903backed Yes | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 31c | 33.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Yes | 66c | 30.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…2cfdbacked Yes | 70c | 23.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…6c97backed Yes | 63c | 23.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 60c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7e…c090backed Yes | 80c | 15.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.