Asian League · resolved market
Will Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ccf3b27e52b9e2f3552c3f443339d98883a8a7287af81511322d2ad6fc8079e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 1,112$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.62 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,033$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 32c | 477.84$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 69c | 357.75$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 334.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked Yes | 54c | 273.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.79 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 69c | 231.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 17c | 222$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 182.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 71c | 120.31$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 15c | 100.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 31c | 98.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 29c | 82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 29c | 76.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 19c | 53.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 31.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed No | 70c | 30.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 59c | 30.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 19.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.