Asian League · resolved market
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdf4cf9a064a81cedbe458da9aaa4a79c23da044d5213f5353032066d48ef00a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 15c | 1,362$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.26 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed No | 67c | 1,131$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed No | 67c | 1,088$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed Yes | 33c | 755$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Yes | 33c | 754$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed Yes | 33c | 745$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Yes | 17c | 656.12$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 606.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 347$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 315.93$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 219$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7d…21c7backed Yes | 8c | 145.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked No | 70c | 142$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 103.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 17c | 77.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 62.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 65c | 59.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 74c | 53.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Yes | 38c | 41.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…3242backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 36c | 39.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…8ef0backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 64c | 29.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 17.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked No | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.