TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

USC Upstate Spartans vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
USC Upstate Spartansof USC Upstate Spartans, South Carolina State Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89f3…dfffbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs14c5,927$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.871,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked South Carolina State Bulldogs7c3,122$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.291,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…31b9backed South Carolina State Bulldogs18c1,463$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South Carolina State Bulldogs8c1,391$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.774,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed South Carolina State Bulldogs4c1,300$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.52,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs18c1,243$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2552928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs17c1,134$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed South Carolina State Bulldogs23c891.32$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.616135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed South Carolina State Bulldogs18c834.6$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.962,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked South Carolina State Bulldogs8c699.84$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9927955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed South Carolina State Bulldogs12c587.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.953,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370a…b788backed South Carolina State Bulldogs20c540$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked South Carolina State Bulldogs7c465.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8331837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs12c378.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8715939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed South Carolina State Bulldogs18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4534947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed South Carolina State Bulldogs18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed South Carolina State Bulldogs19c204$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.765639.3%22 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked USC Upstate Spartans80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb079…a1ccbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs15c183.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.311,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed South Carolina State Bulldogs18c174$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.326750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed South Carolina State Bulldogs19c144$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.068345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed South Carolina State Bulldogs18c134.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6349043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed South Carolina State Bulldogs10c130$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13954.2%4 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-86%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs18c115$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.78939.3%35 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed South Carolina State Bulldogs28c107.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed South Carolina State Bulldogs19c107$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.336453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52b…783cbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs20c102$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.47060%42 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed South Carolina State Bulldogs13c94.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.551,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed South Carolina State Bulldogs19c94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.866950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked South Carolina State Bulldogs17c92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.647243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccb6…7433backed South Carolina State Bulldogs18c88.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed South Carolina State Bulldogs17c87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.798043.8%35 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed South Carolina State Bulldogs18c82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.766648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed South Carolina State Bulldogs18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.46451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs15c78.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.824,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs17c78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.267553.3%40 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7257…fc40backed South Carolina State Bulldogs14c77.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.241010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked South Carolina State Bulldogs25c76.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194318.6%8 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf936…0b6fbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked South Carolina State Bulldogs18c71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.784537.8%17 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed South Carolina State Bulldogs18c64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.524744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed USC Upstate Spartans80c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed USC Upstate Spartans80c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed USC Upstate Spartans72c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.722,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd2…2b28backed USC Upstate Spartans75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-65.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed USC Upstate Spartans80c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.62941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.