Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: USC Upstate Spartans (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69db713bde78c799bd4906c981184c0f4ad084891d8fcf6bd894f2d04512b1a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Carolina State Bulldogsof USC Upstate Spartans, South Carolina State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed USC Upstate Spartans | 53c | 12,281$6,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,493.08 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 2,085$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.8 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 2,016$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 48c | 1,711$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.82 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 1,038$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 339$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 48c | 216.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 193.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 185$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed USC Upstate Spartans | 51c | 99.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 94.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 46c | 55.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed USC Upstate Spartans | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 21.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: USC Upstate Spartans (-9.5)this page
- USC Upstate Spartans vs. South Carolina State BulldogsUSC Upstate Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.