Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37122cb314ae7df5ae9fa708effc5314491191abf0da86d3ee6aa4a9d8f11bb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,399 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 12,722$9,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,621.19 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 11,164$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,121.92 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 74c | 6,422$4,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 76c | 4,888$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.88 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 22c | 2,771$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.93 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 2,050$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 1,874$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.95 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 1,808$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.59 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 1,596$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.08 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 1,239$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.27 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 954.22$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.67 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 10c | 947.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 40c | 721.14$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 72c | 703.08$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.07 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 29c | 641.29$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.06 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 535.05$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ee…7e3abacked Yes | 24c | 462.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71d…d79fbacked Yes | 24c | 436.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 28c | 413.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.93 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 39c | 398.86$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2a…4ab7backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 25c | 321.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.9 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 61c | 268.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 78c | 256.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 254.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 72c | 225$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 75c | 199.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 11c | 193.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed No | 79c | 193.71$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 66c | 181$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 78c | 180$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 79c | 169.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 26c | 168.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.29 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…52cdbacked No | 77c | 155.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 65c | 153.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…1f27backed No | 77c | 144.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Yes | 26c | 139.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 137.68$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5670…4de9backed No | 77c | 136.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 72c | 125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 120.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 72c | 115$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 72c | 110$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 38c | 106.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 22c | 103.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 23c | 100.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 28c | 100.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 97.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 78c | 94.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…8644backed Yes | 23c | 87.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc965…5ff3backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +222%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 22c | 81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 71c | 77.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 28c | 73.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…f00dbacked Yes | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 78c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…48febacked No | 79c | 55.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 54c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 25c | 44.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 25c | 44.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…65a5backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 35c | 39.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 48c | 31.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 75c | 31.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…9f1cbacked Yes | 70c | 29.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 25.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 60c | 20.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 72c | 19.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Philadelphia Union vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?No won
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.