Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61a130ceb171c4d644eafd439f23a73a3361751797092ab945c6a13728e54eb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $900,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $900,942 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ac…7c14backed No | 52c | 647,768$337,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310,468.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 50c | 330,000$163,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,400 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 47c | 176,283$83,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,727.95 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes | 46c | 92,593$42,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,592.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 83,363$38,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,919.35 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 50c | 56,091$28,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,045.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 48c | 48,626$23,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,497.17 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 47c | 26,534$12,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,364.1 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 25,923$12,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,048.46 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked No | 50c | 19,754$9,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,877 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 47c | 19,058$9,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,049.08 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 49c | 16,599$8,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,111.2 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cd…eecdbacked Yes | 0c | 12,330$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed No | 50c | 6,920$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,460 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 5,724$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.76 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…d56abacked No | 50c | 4,694$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked No | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 48c | 1,400$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 50c | 1,232$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,190$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.9 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 7c | 1,101$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 46c | 888.97$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.93 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 51c | 832.24$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.44 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 47c | 817.51$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.85 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 47c | 787.61$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.38 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 47c | 773.63$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.86 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 49c | 734$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Yes | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 634$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.41 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 46c | 535.05$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.72 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Yes | 51c | 498.81$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 51c | 454.52$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.82 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 30c | 413$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 52c | 268$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Yes | 47c | 264.55$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…45a8backed No | 47c | 254.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…3f7fbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69f…227ebacked Yes | 54c | 246.31$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 46c | 216.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Yes | 49c | 201.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Yes | 47c | 193.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…cc47backed Yes | 54c | 188.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…5b7abacked No | 47c | 180.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Yes | 48c | 176.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 48c | 176.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Yes | 46c | 161.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 49c | 135.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b47…50fdbacked No | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes | 46c | 134.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2c75backed Yes | 48c | 124.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 53c | 100.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Yes | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Yes | 52c | 91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed No | 51c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 25c | 90.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…875ebacked No | 48c | 81.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…595fbacked Yes | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…1477backed Yes | 49c | 71.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Yes | 48c | 71.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Yes | 49c | 68.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 48c | 66.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…a474backed Yes | 46c | 64.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 60.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked No | 51c | 57.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 80c | 53.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 54c | 52.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 50c | 52.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 50c | 48.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed No | 62c | 47.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Philadelphia Union vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?No won
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.