TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dallas Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Ben Shelton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sheltonof Diallo, Shelton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$406,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$446,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe39d…e3dcbacked Diallo18c251,358$45,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,233.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Diallo2c7,469$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.86,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Diallo0c5,122$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.732,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Shelton77c3,896$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Diallo12c3,462$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.252,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Diallo5c3,313$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.461,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Diallo17c2,394$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.6211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Diallo9c1,833$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1659737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Diallo19c1,693$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.851,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Diallo21c1,485$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.9431753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Diallo3c1,239$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.353046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Diallo19c1,188$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.6678152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Diallo18c1,113$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.347,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Diallo20c1,100$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Shelton79c1,072$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2120257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Diallo16c1,013$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.921,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Diallo3c993.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1233326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Diallo15c939.77$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.567,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a87…baa9backed Diallo2c798.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Diallo19c688.35$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4414028.6%40 W · 100 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Diallo21c682$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.221,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Diallo22c672.73$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14816665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Diallo20c660$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Diallo19c624.08$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.084,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Diallo3c600$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168619.8%17 W · 69 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-51.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Diallo19c523.65$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Diallo20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Diallo7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Diallo27c460$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.215244.1%67 W · 85 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba1…cf36backed Shelton80c456.24$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.251060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2977…6efcbacked Diallo3c441.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.663938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Diallo24c366.16$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.182,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Diallo21c308.55$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.249143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Diallo19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Diallo5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Diallo19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712439.5%49 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Diallo20c261$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7416132.3%52 W · 109 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Shelton80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Diallo31c238.33$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe575…8b12backed Shelton74c209.03$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.357941.8%33 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Shelton80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4017863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Diallo20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Diallo19c173.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3372542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Diallo19c151.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4513138.9%51 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Shelton72c137.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.482343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Shelton79c130$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.358753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Diallo21c115$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1520043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Shelton72c100.6$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.132,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67d…ffc4backed Diallo17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173318.2%6 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Diallo21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…a977backed Shelton70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Diallo20c97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Diallo19c95.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.733,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x512a…0b6ebacked Diallo21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Diallo15c91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6897046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7252…8f5fbacked Shelton80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Shelton80c70$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144367.4%29 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Diallo21c61.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.095648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7257…fc40backed Diallo19c60.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+84.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2393…8535backed Shelton80c51.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.262176.2%16 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Shelton80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102875%21 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a0…fd6bbacked Shelton77c42.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.83540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick72cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Shelton80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.127058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc5…7b98backed Shelton80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.56269.4%43 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+14.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26ec…da98backed Shelton79c31.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.511165.8%73 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked Shelton80c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed Shelton80c27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf840…02e7backed Shelton77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971580%12 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69a7…1909backed Shelton78c25.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.662095%19 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick76cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3ad…0a08backed Shelton80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick77cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b48…c530backed Shelton80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55066%33 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Shelton80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56173.8%45 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8943…81eebacked Shelton80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26f…ba84backed Shelton80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56576.9%50 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Shelton80c22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4595…14ebbacked Shelton80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4f…58c7backed Shelton80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Shelton80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Shelton80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.758756.3%49 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ca…83ddbacked Shelton80c14.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e16…609abacked Shelton79c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.73475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ecc…ca79backed Shelton79c12.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.61776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1acf…d02ebacked Shelton80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed9d…9dbbbacked Shelton80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52487.5%21 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick74cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc357…c550backed Shelton80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.