La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a8c144de6906f429aa11981f27305b3e4866427b4b075513558f82174ca3b93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 55c | 8,000$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.96 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 6,051$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.02 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 45c | 4,000$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.91 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 2,601$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.22 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed No | 48c | 2,101$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 46c | 1,500$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 1,322$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.09 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 17c | 950$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.04 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 616.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 589.2$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.86 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 56c | 519.64$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 18c | 477.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 464.03$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 15c | 190$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 53c | 108.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 99.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 42c | 82.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 46c | 76.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 45c | 68.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 57c | 58.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 56c | 54.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 50.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes | 32c | 46.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 43c | 41.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…293bbacked No | 44c | 33.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 30.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 25.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 46c | 25.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 53c | 24.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 56c | 22.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 60c | 19.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will CD Leganés vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.